TB13 wrote:For me, I cannot see Utley and Bay stealing that much. I look at them as around 15 steals per year. Not horrible, but nothing one builds around (at least when talking about that particular aspect). I also may be one of the few, but I do not see Crawford hitting that many homers. And even if he does, I would look for him to steal less at that point. The Soriano types who year-in, year-out are 30/30 threats are few and far between.
The truth is that we don't have any idea how many home runs Crawford will eventually hit. There were people out there that said 15 was his CEILING before this season started. Here we are not even at the trade deadline and he's already hit 14. He'll probably end up with 20 or more home runs and he doesn't turn 25 years old for another week. He'll probably develop more power for the next 3 years or so which means it's not out of the question that he could get to the 30 mark (though I'd still say in the 22-24 range is a more reasonable ceiling).
Obviously more home runs would likely mean less sb opp's...however we're not talking about *that* many less opportunities and since he's already a 50+ guy I don't see him falling off to the point that his sb's would stop him from getting 30/30 or even 40/40. The home runs may never get there but I don't see the sb's falling below 40 until he's on the wrong side of 30 years old by quite a bit.