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Who will be the #1-5 prospects on next years lists?

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Postby Galt » Mon Jul 24, 2006 3:53 pm

I realize this is "FANTASYbaseballcafe", but I really only post in this forum, as it's one of the very few on the internet that has many threads about prospects in general. Since most of them are so far away from the majors, the "fantasy" categories aren't (in my mind) as important as other things.

For instance, people actually discuss defense sometimes here.

So that's one reason for my comment. The second reason is that this thread was initially about the top 5 prospects next year, and BA does not rank players based on their fantasy potential, but puts a significant emphasis on defense and "tools", so that's why I made the comment about fantasy leagues.

And if you are focusing in fantasy leagues, then the fact that Maybin has a 90% SB success ratio, while Bruce is about 66% doesn't matter, because Bruce is still putting up very good steals numbers and much better power numbers than Maybin.
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Postby rmande09 » Mon Jul 24, 2006 5:00 pm

I don't really need to say much as Galt has taken care of it for me.
C: Pierzynski
1B: Pujols
2B: Altuve
3B: Miggy
SS: HanRam
OF (x3): CarGo, M. Bourn, D. Jennings
UTIL (x2): E. Encarnacion, C. Hart
BN: Cuddyer, C. Ross, J. Montero

SP: Price, Gallardo, T. Hudson, Lester
RP: Chapman, Jansen, Rodney, Putz, Cishek, Bailey
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Postby winterball22 » Sun Jul 30, 2006 10:53 pm

I have to side with Maybin, being the slightly better prospect then Bruce. We'll have to wait and see how it works on in a few years. Tabata is getting lots of Manny comparisons, but he's still a couple of years away and problably a year behind the other two.
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Postby winterball22 » Sun Jul 30, 2006 10:53 pm

I have to side with Maybin, being the slightly better prospect then Bruce. We'll have to wait and see how it works on in a few years. Tabata is getting lots of Manny comparisons, but he's still a couple of years away and problably a year behind the other two.
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Postby Real_Deal_Ryan » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:24 am

Galt wrote:Bruce has certainly been better this year. Steals aren't that important unless you are talking about a fantasy league.

Bruce has been a much better hitter, his power has been off-the-charts better than Maybin.


But with almost 150 MORE AB's and the stats are pretty close. Gotta go with Maybin.
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Postby Galt » Tue Aug 01, 2006 11:42 am

Actually, no. The stats aren't really that close. Bruce's power is dramatically higher than Maybins this year, and Maybin just strikes out waaaaaaay too much at this point.

Maybin has much more speed, and his BA is higher, but his BAIP is extradinarily high and is a statistical anomly. He's almost hitting .500 on balls batted in play.

Projecting both of their numbers on 150 games:
Maybin: 11 HR, 35 2B, 57 XBH, 44 steals, .900 OPS, 176K
Bruce: 21 HR, 58 2B, 86 XBH, 19 steals, .934 OPS, 126K

Now, no one that strikes out 125+ times a year is a legitimate .300 hitter. But someone that strikes out a 175+ times a year projects to be about a .250 hitter
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Postby NatsFan10 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:26 pm

Gordon
Young
Wood
Upton
Kendrick

I think Gordon has the inside track now to win BA's minor league player of the year, and that could help him transition into the #1 overall player and overtake Young.

Young has had another good season, but when you add up the suspension and his low walk and HR numbers, I don't think he has done enough to hold on to the #1 spot for another year.
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Postby winterball22 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:41 pm

You can crunch numbers from half a season of A ball, but Maybin still has more upside, BA still has Maybin ranked higher in their midseason review. Maybin's injury really increased his K's and drained some power. Bruce may or may not be better major leaguer then Maybin, we'll have to wait and see, I think AA, will tell alot for both players.
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Postby winterball22 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 11:16 pm

"Now, no one that strikes out 125+ times a year is a legitimate .300 hitter"
That statement doesn't hold water, there has been so many players that have done that..Manny, Papi, Arod, Thome etc.
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Postby Slow Pitch » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:07 pm

1. Billy-freakin-Butler
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2. It doesnt matter
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