J35J wrote:Its really, really hard to project what a rookie pitcher will do in the bigs. He could do anything from what Jered Weaver is doing to what Cole Hamels and Billingsley are doing/did. The only thing you can have any kind of luck predicting is what he will be overall throughout his career and that should be a pretty good #2 maybe an ace. But to predict what he will do in his first year is pretty much impossible to do IMO.
If you have room on your team to pick him up, do it. If you don't, don't worry about it.
I agree Pelfrey is a number 2 but not an ace. This is MO but I dont think guys like Reyes, Bills, Weaver, Hirsch and Pelfrey have ace stuff like Liriano, Verlander, Hughes and Bailey. I through my number 11 WW priority on Pelfrey because I am in a Dynasty. I think the hype of young pitchers is wayyyyyyyy overrated. I wouldnt lose sleep over missing out on Pelfrey unless you're a mets fan.