by The Loveable Losers » Tue Jul 11, 2006 11:18 am
Definitely Butler.
As for his ETA here's everything I've heard. I don't have links for any of this...a lot of it I got from John Sickels when he's hosted Fantasy Focus on XM Radio and a few others from Rotowire player updates.
1) Dayton Moore has basically stated that he does not want to rush prospects. (Seen and heard this multiple times)
2) Dayton Moore/KC Royals brass (can't remember which one) stated that neither Gordon nor Butler would skip AAA. (Positive that this one was reported though I can't remember where)
3) The Royals don't want arbitration to run out on both Gordon and Butler at the same time and will therefore space out their call-ups (this one's sketchier...I can't remember where I heard it and have only seen it reported one time)
Based on these statements and also from listening to John Sickels talk about Gordon recently I'm not convinced that Gordon will be the starting third baseman in 2007. Teahan's playing well lately, the team wants to take it slowly with their prospects and they specifically stated they didn't want them to skip a level. I can also understand the reasoning behind #3 (though again I'm not positive that the source on that one was reliable). I know that #1 and #2 are true. If #3 is also true then Butler may be a 2008 call-up. I could definitely see Gordon being an ASB call-up in 2007 and Butler a 2008 opening day starter.
Personally I think that KC's being overly cautious with Gordon. Butler's another story...he's still young (20). But Gordon's two years older, a polished college hitter and posting a .300/.400/.500 line so far this year. I'd prefer to see Gordon as the opening day starter in 2007 and Butler in 2008 from an organizational standpoint. Promote Gordon to AAA right now and give him until September call-ups at the AAA level. Like I mentioned, he's a polished college player and doesn't need those full seasons at each level.
Butler I'd like to see given more time to develop...he's young and I worry more about his emotional growth than his bat or defense. Give him some more time out of the spotlight (not that KC's spotlight is that bright or anything but still...) to grow both as a person and as a ball player and then have him start in 2008. That spaces out the arbitration for these two young players, gets Gordon up for 2007 (either at third base or in the outfield depending on how they feel about Teahan...though they REALLY need to make up their mind about that soon to give Gordon the time to adjust to the outfield if they're going to move him) and gives Butler the time to mature both physically and emotionally before coming up to the majors.