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M-Cab's second half

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M-Cab's second half

Postby ds209 » Wed Jul 05, 2006 11:25 am

Miguel Cabrera has been solid this season. He's on pace for about 112 rbis, and his batting avg has been amazing, much better than expected. It can't be denied that the power numbers are down, though. He only has 13 and that puts him on pace for just 26 as we are about half way through the season. I'm sure everyone that drafted him in the late first/early second round like I did was expecting at least 30 homers if not 35-40.

So, does anyone think Cabrera's power numbers will improve in the 2nd half? Or will he just continue to hit for a good average with lower power numbers?
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Postby Q » Wed Jul 05, 2006 11:32 am

Double's are a good indicator of a player's power other than home runs because a lot of doubles are just a few feet short of a home run. Right now Cabrera has 25 doubles at the half, putting him on pace for 50. He had 31 and 43 the previous two years so he is hitting for basically just as much power and this is more of an abberation. Expect him to have a Cabrera like second half an break 30 home runs.
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Postby The_Met_Threat » Wed Jul 05, 2006 1:10 pm

I expect him to break 30 HR this year. I could predict 35-40 at the beginning of the year, i just knew it was gonna be too hard to hit that, with half his games in Florida, but i thought hed come close. 30-35. Im thinking those power numbers well get up with the second half.
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Postby Red Sox Nation » Wed Jul 05, 2006 3:02 pm

The_Met_Threat wrote:I expect him to break 30 HR this year. I could predict 35-40 at the beginning of the year, i just knew it was gonna be too hard to hit that, with half his games in Florida, but i thought hed come close. 30-35. Im thinking those power numbers well get up with the second half.


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Postby tomdoyle3 » Wed Jul 05, 2006 3:47 pm

He is still hitting home runs at a good pace. His HR/F is 16.2%, but his ground ball percentage has risen to 44.4%, compared to 38.5% last year. If this continues he won't see much of a rise in power, it all depends on whether he starts hitting more fly balls. ;-D

It's worth noting that he has attempted 12 sb's this year (7 of which have been successful). The Marlins have nothing to lose, and are sending M-Cab a lot. ;-D
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Postby DevilDriver » Wed Jul 05, 2006 4:01 pm

I think he'll manage to break 30 this season, but no one should've expected him to hit 35+ while playing half his games in Dolphins Stadium.
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Postby duckbillgates » Wed Jul 05, 2006 5:46 pm

Eh, 3 dingers in his last 9 games is nice. I've expected a power run from him at some point and think 30 HR is a very reasonable expectation, which would make for a nice second half.
Most projections for him this year had a dip in average (due to the belief that the Marlins' young bats weren't very good and that M-Cab wouldn't see many good pitches), so he's already exceeded that expectation.
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Postby johnsamo » Wed Jul 05, 2006 5:50 pm

You got to take into account his age, there's way more cieling there. This year his 2nd half depends on how his supporting players do.... ANd God forbid his home field is ever hitter friendly.
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Postby Manfred » Wed Jul 05, 2006 7:42 pm

DevilDriver wrote:I think he'll manage to break 30 this season, but no one should've expected him to hit 35+ while playing half his games in Dolphins Stadium.


So, after hitting 33 HRs each of the past two years playing half his games in Dolphins stadium, no one should've expected 35 this year? that makes sense.

He isn't that far off his 1st half pace from last year.
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Postby CeeLoGreen » Wed Jul 05, 2006 7:52 pm

He must have heard you.

Hit a bomb in the first inning today.
Basically I'm complicated.
I have a hard time taking the easy way
I wouldn't call it schizophrenia
But Ill be at least two people today

If that's OK

And I can go on, and on, and on...

But who cares?
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