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Postby arods83 » Thu Jun 29, 2006 4:06 pm

yea but the list looks better........

Clemens....Pedro.....
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Postby Pogotheostrich » Thu Jun 29, 2006 4:16 pm

arods83 wrote:yea but the list looks better........

Clemens....Pedro.....
Of course it looks better when you say Pedro and Clemens. They were already great pitchers. Hendrickson in his best season was average and that is being generous. His career ERA is 5.01.
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Postby The_Met_Threat » Thu Jun 29, 2006 4:46 pm

arods83 wrote:yea but the list looks better........

Clemens....Pedro.....


Pedro didn't get better when he moved to the NL. Maybe you wanna check some of his Boston years, 23 wins, 313 K's, .7 whips, sub 2 eras....
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Postby Pogotheostrich » Thu Jun 29, 2006 4:51 pm

The_Met_Threat wrote:
arods83 wrote:yea but the list looks better........

Clemens....Pedro.....


Pedro didn't get better when he moved to the NL. Maybe you wanna check some of his Boston years, 23 wins, 313 K's, .7 whips, sub 2 eras....
His 2005 numbers were better than his 2004 numbers. Whether he got better moving to the NL depends on if you think 2004 was an aberration or the start of Pedro's decline.
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Postby BobbyRoberto » Fri Jun 30, 2006 3:30 am

Back to Mark Hendrickson. I'll throw some stats out there.

Actual ERAs over the last 3 years:
2006 ERA--3.81
2005 ERA--5.90
2004 ERA--4.81.

His FIP (Fielding Independent ERA, a good predictor of ERA based on just what the pither does--from the Hardball Times):
2006 ERA--4.63
2005 ERA--4.63
2004 ERA--4.48.

His xFIP (considered an even better predictor than FIP):
2006 ERA--5.20
2005 ERA--4.68
2004 ERA--4.99

His BABIP (Batting Average on Balls in Play) is .258 (well below what would be expected).

His LOB% (Left on Base percentage) is 72.8%, well above last season's 62.2% and the previous season's 64.4%.

All of these numbers tell me that he's the same pitcher he's always been, but has been much luckier than in the last 2 seasons.

One improvement is his K/9, which is 5.2 this season, after 4.3 in 2005 and 4.2 in 2004.

Unfortunately, his BB/9 has gone up as well, to 3.5 this season, up from 2.4 and 2.2 in the previous 2 years.

So, he has a nice ERA and WHIP that are not supported by his peripherals. He doesn't strike out enough batters and walks too many. His K/BB of 1.5 is not good at all.

He should benefit from going to the NL, but I wouldn't expect a whole lot. I see him as a spot-starter at best.
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