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Evan Longoria: hitting .457 with 4 HRs, 11 RBIs

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Postby rmande09 » Wed Jun 28, 2006 10:05 pm

PS - Longoria hit .299 with 8 homers in the Cape League. That is good transitioning from metal to wood, but that's not exactly tearing it up, either.
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Postby rmande09 » Wed Jun 28, 2006 10:19 pm

OK, here, perfect example. Troy Tulowitzki was drafted 7th overall last year as a SS out of LBSU, Longoria's alma mater. There has been quite a bit of comparison between Tulo, Longoria, and former LBSU SS and current A's SS Bobby Crosby. Tulo is considered by most scouts and executives to be the best of the three. Most think Tulo could step into a Major League role right now and put up better numbers than Bobby Crosby. Then Crosby, then Longoria. Longoria is not far behind Crosby in terms of where he was when he get out of school. With no rush to get Longoria to the show, it is probable he'll follow a path similar to those guys he is most often compared with - Tulo and Crosby.

Troy signed a little late last year and played at Modesto, Colorado's A+ affiliate. He opened this season at AA.

Crosby began his career at A+ Modesto (then the A's affiliate) and finished that season there, hitting .395 in a limited amount of time. He began his first full season of pro ball BACK at A+ and pretty much tore the league up for half a season. It took HALF A SEASON for him to get promoted to AA, and he finished the year there. He moved up to AAA to begin his second full year, received a September callup and has been in the pros ever since.

Because Longoria signed so early, they started him at SS ball. They may promote him to A+ soon, but he will finish the season at A+ unless he absolutely tears the cover off the ball. Promoting players too soon completely impedes their development, and I don't think the Rays are going to take that chance on this guy.
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Postby rmande09 » Wed Jun 28, 2006 10:23 pm

I didn't attack you, I simply told you it was terrible logic to say that D1 is better than AA because Mark Prior made it to the bigs the year he was drafted.

I'm not pretending to be an expert - I'm simply saying the quality and talent at SS and certainly A+ ball is greater than that of D1 ball. If it wasn't, then every kid playing D1 would get drafted.

Like I said before, unless Longoria tears A+ up (read: .400, 10 HR in a month), he will not be up in AA. Keep in mind, the minors end in the beginning of September, which will give him two months to establish himself and A+ and make the FO feel like he has gotten all he can out of A+ and needs to go up.

He will definitely start next season in AA.
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Postby rmande09 » Wed Jun 28, 2006 10:36 pm

hha don't worry about it, it happens. I get excited about quick promotion of guys too. I remember last year wishing Hansen would be brought up to the Bigs after about two games at A+. Longoria should be good, but he probably won't be up until next September, then in 2008 for good, assuming he progresses as expected.
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Postby rmande09 » Wed Jun 28, 2006 10:47 pm

They say Tulowitzki should be the best of the bunch, and Longoria projects to be extremely similar to Crosby in terms of offense.
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