by freeling_prideful » Thu Jun 08, 2006 3:27 pm
Under normal circumstances I'd say absolutely you should never worry about the gun. However, in Verlander's case it is a concern...he hasn't thrown over 140 innings in a year, he was shut down last year due to shoulder fatigue (despite throwing only like 130-some innings).
Meanwhile, his K rates have been unimpressive this year and getting lower...I think it's all indicating that he is beginning to slow down. I expect that the Tigers will probably end up shutting him down in late August or early September, b/c it's just not healthy to push a guy more than 50-60 innings over where he was the previous year. Once he starts hitting the 160-180 range, his velocity will no doubt fall and they'll have to sit him.