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Postby PinotResa » Wed May 31, 2006 12:30 am

His predicted Avg/OPS are much higher than actual. As of now he "should" be hitting .254 with a .740 OPS.

The question we should be wanting an answer to is, Is his shoulder ok?
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Postby RugbyD » Wed May 31, 2006 12:47 am

PinotResa wrote:His predicted Avg/OPS are much higher than actual. As of now he "should" be hitting .254 with a .740 OPS.

The question we should be wanting an answer to is, Is his shoulder ok?

i think his heel is the issue.
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Postby klvrdude » Wed May 31, 2006 2:28 am

PinotResa wrote:His predicted Avg/OPS are much higher than actual. As of now he "should" be hitting .254 with a .740 OPS.

The question we should be wanting an answer to is, Is his shoulder ok?


Do you know how those predicted numbers quantified?
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Postby PinotResa » Wed May 31, 2006 4:12 am

klvrdude wrote:
PinotResa wrote:His predicted Avg/OPS are much higher than actual. As of now he "should" be hitting .254 with a .740 OPS.

The question we should be wanting an answer to is, Is his shoulder ok?


Do you know how those predicted numbers quantified?


PrAVE, PrOBP, PrSLG: Predicted AVE, OBP, and SLG based on on batted ball types, walk rate, HBP rate, strikeout rate, home run rate, and home park of the player
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Postby d18Mike » Wed May 31, 2006 7:46 am

Haven't seen this in any of the Fantasy News services, but the Seattle paper is reporting that Sexson was visibly limping while running Monday. And he was held out on Tuesday and will only be used as DH on Wednesday.

Hargrove said awhile ago that they believe his heel/foot issue can be healed by having him sit out on occasion -- not a DL stint. Bad move, methinks. Sit him and get it over with.
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Postby Omaha Red Sox » Wed May 31, 2006 8:27 am

d18Mike wrote:Haven't seen this in any of the Fantasy News services, but the Seattle paper is reporting that Sexson was visibly limping while running Monday. And he was held out on Tuesday and will only be used as DH on Wednesday.

Hargrove said awhile ago that they believe his heel/foot issue can be healed by having him sit out on occasion -- not a DL stint. Bad move, methinks. Sit him and get it over with.


Exactly my thoughts. I've been plagued by the DL quite a bit this season, but even I would say, if it takes a stint on the 15-dayer, do it if you come back to your usual self.
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Postby futanto » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:10 pm

Well he's doing a little better recently but then again he's played kansas city and minnesota.
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Postby Omaha Red Sox » Sun Jun 25, 2006 5:24 pm

3 for 3 so far today with a HR, 2 RBI. :-°
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Postby The Jury » Sun Jun 25, 2006 5:37 pm

pibb55 wrote:
klvrdude wrote:I'm sorry to say it, but I think your "worst" case is really a best case. To make those #'s a reality he'll need to avg 16.5R/6.0HR/18.3RBI/.270 a month for the next 4 months.

Those #'s aren't out of his capability, b/c that is approx what he got over the last 4 mo of 2005, but he also didn't "slump" like this last year either.

He's a year older (31), on a lack luster team with no passion and possibly a year long nagging foot/heal injury.

Personally, I'm not in a position where I can wait for him to get hot. I'm going to test the "buy-low" market, b/c I don't think he's going to make huge strides this year.



I wouldn't sell low on Sexson unless you truly think he's injured. He is currently getting unlucky and hasn't found his stroke yet. He has a career HR/AB of 15.15, this year its at 32.33, more than double his normal Home run rate. Also, his BA/BIP is at .268, an average hitter is around .300 at least, he is getting very unlucky and should bust out to his normal self with a 9 HR month soon.


It doesn't matter what the average player's BABIP is - to use BABIP as an indicator, you have to compare your player's current BABIP to his average BABIP, not to the league's BABIP. But yes, Sexson has been unlucky, but that is definitely not the sole reason for his lack of production thus far. Richie Sexson has been awful :-P
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Postby He who did Wright » Sun Jun 25, 2006 6:11 pm

Omaha Red Sox wrote:3 for 3 so far today with a HR, 2 RBI. :-°


Make that 4/4 with 2 hr :-)
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