17 rules Newbies should learn - Fantasy Baseball Cafe 2014 Fantasy Baseball Cafe
100% Deposit Bonus for Cafe Members!

Return to Baseball Leftovers

17 rules Newbies should learn

Moderator: Baseball Moderators

17 rules Newbies should learn

Postby johnsamo » Sat May 27, 2006 3:37 pm

I'm by no means the greatest fantasy baseball expert out there, but I've been doing it 8 years and I've gone from a near cellar dwellar to first place in my league.... Here are some things I’ve learned.

rule #1.... They're are always exceptions to every rule. Example: Vladimir Guerrero has no business being a hitting stud with his huge strike zone, but he is anyway. Most of the time, free swingers don't become great players unless they learn to lay off junk.

Rule #2 - start or join an ongoing league that has keepers. A league where everybody is friends is best, because it makes trash talking more fun. Plus, this way, even if you're tanking and have no chance of winning, you can still stay interested because you can think long term. It also helps you learn the other player’s weaknesses. Say you’ve got a Yankee’s fan in the league who’ll overpay to get Yankee players. That’s how I traded for Pujols last year… Gave up A-Rod straight up.

Rule #3 – Never trade keeper studs unless you’re getting an equivalent or better stud in the deal, see above (A-Rod for Pujols)

Rule #4... Time is short, don't obsess over rookies until they've played at least half a season in the show. Most stud players develop into studs over time while playing in the majors. There are exceptions, but the talent differential between the minors and the show is so great, that monitoring minor leaguers is generally a waste of time compared to looking for young talent that's already in the show and is showing improvement.

Rule #5... Look for young guys in the show that are starting to break out. The Chase Utley and ALex Rios of the world are good examples of this. They started out as platoon guys and played so well they become full time starters.

Rule #6.... To find emerging hitters, look for an uptick in walks. This means they're developing a good eye and not swinging at crap. When they stop swinging at crap, they get better pitches to hit.

Rule #7… To find emerging pitchers, two stats point to emerging studs, increased K per innings, and decreasing walks per inning.

Rule #8… Know your league’s scoring categories and weigh players value in accordance to those categories… Most rankings lists are based on standard 5X5, but if you’re league isn’t 5X5, take that into account. For instance, if you’re in a 6X6 league like mine that has avg. and obp as categories, keep in mind that most rankings list aren’t taking into account obp. This can mean an average player like a David Eckstein is a little more valuable than he appears because he has a high obp.

Rule #9… Having dominant starting pitchers is a key to winning long term. Half of your score is from pitching, and around 2/3rds of those innings pitched are going to be racked up by your top five starters, this is opposed to hitting categories, where it’s equally divided between all 10 players…
Rule #10 – Think long term. If you’re out of the race, focus your attention on increasing the quality of your keepers and on emerging young players. Be willing to trade aging studs to teams vying for the top spot in return for young keepers. Likewise, don’t trade a stud just because his team sucks. For instance, I’ve got Carlos Zambrano and Miggy Cabrera as keepers. There good now, but they’ll be really good when they are on good teams.

Rule #11 – When possible. avoid players with a history of injuries, it’s the surest indicator of future injuries.

Rule #12… Not all injuries are created equal. Impact injuries aren’t an indication of future injuries, they can happen to anybody. Hamstrings, tears, wear and tear injuries that require surgery are usually a bad sign for the future.

Rule #13…. You can’t dominate every scoring category. Winners usually do extremely well in some categories and about average in the rest, and maybe poorly in one category. What I mean is, balance is good, and don’t panic and buy high just because you’re weak in saves or steals or whatever.

Rule #14…. Don’t forget the value of platoon guys… I generally devote one outfield or utility slot to a two player platoon, usually two lefty platoon hitters… This year, I’m platooning my utility slot between Dave Brown and Kenny Lofton, two guys I drafted with my last two picks. Individually, they’re stats don’t look impressive, but when you look at them combined, they’re like one player who hits over 300, scores a lot of runs and gets a lot of steals.

Rule #15…. Don’t get too enamored by the long ball. It’s important, but things like avg. obp and steals still count.

Rule #16… be patient with veteran studs who are cold, and be wary of rookies that are on fire…. Generally, the veterans return to form and hot rookies cool off.

Rule #16…. Pitchers who’s two best pitches are the fastball and changeup are generally less of an injury risk than guys who depend on wicked breaking stuff.

Rule #17…. Pitchers with wicked breaking stuff are long-term injury risks. Think Gagne and Kerry Wood. Wicked breaking stuff isn’t always bad if it’s a slider that comes from their velocity or their release point, but pitchers who get it by whipping their arms abnormally hard are usually going to need a Tommy John in a year or two…. Again, there are exceptions, I’ve been saying Pedro Martinez’s arm is going to explode for the last ten years.
johnsamo
Major League Manager
Major League Manager

User avatar

Posts: 1826
Joined: 30 Mar 2006
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Los Angeles

Postby j24jags » Sat May 27, 2006 3:58 pm

great list ;-D
#15 is very important IMO
Image
j24jags
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
CafeholicCafe WriterMock(ing) DrafterEagle EyeLucky Ladders Weekly Winner
Posts: 10340
(Past Year: 1)
Joined: 28 Feb 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball

Postby chris8 » Sat May 27, 2006 4:12 pm

Rule #18 - Never start a topic in the Cafe with the words Pitcher X has a no-hitter through 5 innings... ;-)
Image
chris8
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
CafeholicFantasy ExpertCafe WriterCafe RankerMock(ing) DrafterEagle EyeLucky Ladders ChampionPick 3 Weekly WinnerMatchup Meltdown Survivor
Posts: 7023
(Past Year: 110)
Joined: 13 Mar 2004
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Going to see a man about a dog

Postby Omaha Red Sox » Sat May 27, 2006 4:14 pm

Great list john! ;-D

You have 2 #16s... ;-)
Omaha Red Sox
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
CafeholicCafe WriterCafe RankerMock(ing) DrafterEagle Eye
Posts: 11420
(Past Year: 6)
Joined: 29 Jun 2005
Home Cafe: Football
Location: Probably over there

Postby gostanford07 » Sat May 27, 2006 4:16 pm

chris8 wrote:Rule #18 - Never start a topic in the Cafe with the words Pitcher X has a no-hitter through 5 innings... ;-)


LOL. I saw two Glavine threads and knew it was over. Still a nice start though
Image
gostanford07
Minor League Mentor
Minor League Mentor

User avatar
Eagle Eye
Posts: 546
Joined: 23 Feb 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: 707... The home of Jonny Gomes and Jason Lane

Postby mrkrab2003 » Sat May 27, 2006 4:38 pm

15 is a little weak, the rest are pretty good though.
mrkrab2003
College Coach
College Coach


Posts: 347
Joined: 31 Jul 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball

Postby Mugrila » Sat May 27, 2006 6:08 pm

mrkrab2003 wrote:15 is a little weak, the rest are pretty good though.


I think it's fairly important. I might reword it to say, "Don't focus on HRs, instead try to build a well rounded team thats strong in every category." Obviously you want a wide variety of hitters, not just those known for the long ball. A team full of Jim Edmonds or Adam Dunns probably won't win you a league.
Mugrila
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
CafeholicFantasy ExpertCafe WriterCafe RankerMock(ing) DrafterEagle EyeCafe MusketeerPick 3 Champion
Posts: 6597
Joined: 4 Jun 2003
Home Cafe: Baseball

Postby stevekahuda » Sat May 27, 2006 6:44 pm

I like the list , but I disagree somewhat with the rookies statement. A rookie can make a huge difference in even a mildly deep league. Especially when the guy they're replacing has no business playing in the majors (see Pierre, Juan and Radke, Brad)
stevekahuda
College Coach
College Coach


Posts: 274
Joined: 2 Apr 2006
Home Cafe: Baseball

Postby TheOmen » Sat May 27, 2006 7:51 pm

I disagree with #9. You do not need dominating starting pitching. You need solid pitching and a lineup that mashes. At least that's what has worked for me the last three seasons.
TheOmen
Minor League Mentor
Minor League Mentor

User avatar

Posts: 519
Joined: 29 Sep 2004
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Censored

Postby Mugrila » Sat May 27, 2006 8:04 pm

Another thought I have is for those new to fantasy is something I still have problems with. Take your time with trades. The season is very long and though trading all your players is really fun, it isn't always best for your team. Take your time analyzing trades as well. It's important to think about all aspects of a trade before committing to it.
Mugrila
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
CafeholicFantasy ExpertCafe WriterCafe RankerMock(ing) DrafterEagle EyeCafe MusketeerPick 3 Champion
Posts: 6597
Joined: 4 Jun 2003
Home Cafe: Baseball

Next

Return to Baseball Leftovers

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: buiviopaufamp and 8 guests

Forums Articles & Tips Sleepers Rankings Leagues


Today's Games
Friday, Aug. 22
(All times are EST, weather icons show forecast for game time)

Baltimore at Chi Cubs
(2:20 pm)
Houston at Cleveland
(7:05 pm)
Chi White Sox at NY Yankees
(7:05 pm)
St. Louis at Philadelphia
(7:05 pm)
San Francisco at Washington
(7:05 pm)
Tampa Bay at Toronto
(7:07 pm)
Atlanta at Cincinnati
(7:10 pm)
Seattle at Boston
(7:10 pm)
Kansas City at Texas
(8:05 pm)
Pittsburgh at Milwaukee
(8:10 pm)
Detroit at Minnesota
(8:10 pm)
Miami at Colorado
(8:40 pm)
San Diego at Arizona
(9:40 pm)
LA Angels at Oakland
(10:05 pm)
NY Mets at LA Dodgers
(10:10 pm)

  • Fantasy Baseball
  • Article Submissions
  • Privacy Statement
  • Site Survey 
  • Contact