I drafted him in the 20th round. I'm waiting for the bubble to burst but he keeps on hitting. Has he made any changes that have effected his hitting so dramatically?
He's a very good player. Last year was injury plagued and he lost all confidence. But he is as offensively talented as Morgan Ensberg, IMO. Now, I think it's safe to say he's not gonna finish the season hitting over .330. But I think he can wind up the season between .290 and .300 with 25 home runs--maybe more.
Bluto: Over? Did you say over? NOTHING is over until WE decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? HELL, NO!
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Boon: Forget it, he's rolling.
mtarail wrote:He's a very good player. Last year was injury plagued and he lost all confidence. But he is as offensively talented as Morgan Ensberg, IMO. Now, I think it's safe to say he's not gonna finish the season hitting over .330. But I think he can wind up the season between .290 and .300 with 25 home runs--maybe more.
I agree, Cleveland would be better off hitting Blake 3rd.
mtarail wrote:He's a very good player. Last year was injury plagued and he lost all confidence. But he is as offensively talented as Morgan Ensberg, IMO. Now, I think it's safe to say he's not gonna finish the season hitting over .330. But I think he can wind up the season between .290 and .300 with 25 home runs--maybe more.
I agree, Cleveland would be better off hitting Blake 3rd.
This may be true, but Cleveland is not going to bump Peralta out of that spot. From watching all of his games last year and this year, I don't see anything dramatic beyond much less of a tendency to pull the ball this year. In addition, people forget that Blake was learning to play RF last year after having not played it extensively at any level. There is evidence that a position change can hurt the offensive side of a player's game, and I think that was the case on top of some personal problems Casey had last year. I would say he finishes at .280-.290 with 33 HRs.
by Wade Boggs' Mustache » Wed May 24, 2006 4:59 pm
As an Indians fan, I'm probably just as, if not more surprised, at his offensive surge this season. He is a career .263 hitter, so for him to keep his average .100 points above his career, I just don't see that happening. Now, he hit .271 in 2004 with 28 homeruns and hit only.241 with 23 homeruns in 2005. Like stated already, moving positions may have played a big part in that dip of production last season. I'd look for him to at least return to his 2004 numbers.
My Prediction:
.280a average 30 homers
I think he'll finish strong but he won't keep up his current pace. His value will probably never be higher than it is right now so I'd try and sell high on him. If you can't swing a deal he should put up pretty respectable numbers anyway so it's no major loss, but if you can get someone pretty good for him I'd pull the trigger.
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by surferguy » Wed May 24, 2006 4:09 pm 
