thehotcorner wrote:cordscords wrote:1. If he was with the Mets right now I would guess his #'s would look the same and his outlook would be just as bright. It's easy to say take a stud SP in the AL and move him to an NL pitchers park and his sick #'s get even sicker, but I don't know if there is a pitcher to make that jump yet. You usually see the jump in #3/#4 starters.
2. Kazmir is signed through the 2007 season.
um.. Pedro Martinez made that exact jump. From Fenway and the AL East to Shea and the NL East. Thought I can't say there was a noticeable difference in his numbers. I mean I don't think you can say for sure that he wouldn't have bounced back had he stayed in Boston. He's pitching great, but certainly no better than he has in any recent year except his last one in Boston.
But Pedro in '04 had by far his worst statisitcal year in a very long time. One of the hot topics in the offseason was "Is he the same pitcher anymore? Did his shoulder finally get to him?" I projected his #'s to get much better the following year, as they did. Had he stayed in Boston, I don't know what he would have done, but I would have him improving but just not as much as I would have projected him to improve for the Mets.
I'm saying you have not seen a pitcher put up a few sick years in the AL in his prime, and switch over to an NL's pitchers park while still in his prime.