"guys like crawford" don't necessarily drive in 80 runs. Crawford had 80 rbi once, last season. The two years before that he was in the fifties. He's improving as a hitter, yes, but 80 rbi shouldn't be expected from him. Think somewhere in the 60's.
Ender wrote:SB's are really really streaky. He easily could end the year at 15 HR, 35 SB still which doesn't put him at first round value at all. Its just way too early to tell.
I agree, let's let him keep up what he's doing for a couple more months before we even begin this discussion. He could just as likely end up with 30-35, which would up his value, but nowhere near a 1st round pick.
i wouldnt consider him a first rounder because he is no lock to swipe 50 next year, even if you assume he swipes 50 this year. if i did think he could go 20/50 i would take him in the first round, but since he has throughout his career managed in the neighborhood of 15-20 steals a season i would treat the 50 steals as sort of an outlier...something i would need to see again before believing.