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What's a better predicter of actual performance?

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What's a better predicter of actual performance?

Postby PlayingWithFire » Sat May 13, 2006 2:20 pm

ERC or DIPS ERA? And please explain. :-o

I really don't know anything about those 2 stats
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Postby Tavish » Sat May 13, 2006 2:27 pm

The basic difference between Component ERA (ERC) and DIPS is that ERC uses the actual hits the pitcher allowed while DIPS uses a league average hit rate. DIPS tends to correlate better as it will bring strong outliers (both good and bad) back towards the mean.
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Postby PlayingWithFire » Sat May 13, 2006 2:30 pm

Thanks Tavish, this probably means that Josh Johnson's rediculous .190 BA in balls in play won't hold up and his ERA will rise dramatically.
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