I drafted in both my leagues in the one in the 12th and the other the 14th round thinking he could reverting back to a #2 SP.
What does eveyone think about this guy. Should I look to trade him while his perceived value is high, or hold on. I think he is a better 2nd half pitcher.
He's had his sinker workign well his past few outings, which is a big improvement over last year. He got roughed up today a bit, but that was because Cox left him out there longer than he would have liked becuase of the 14 inning game last night. I think you'll get solid value given that you drafted him after the 10th round. I don't think I'd want to count on him as my #2 guy, but he should be a better-than-average #3.
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I wouldnt say there is a huge market for guys who want Hudson right now. I would keep him, play matchups, and when he really finds his groove start him with confidence.
first, he's not a 2nd half pitcher. Let's get that out of the way.
and second, his k/9 in his last year with Oakland was lower than 5 for the first time in his career and k/9 of last year is only 5.3. He's 31, what made you think he'll bounce back? Billy Beane is one of the best GM in the league and there is a reason why he traded Hudson(to give John Schuerholz a fair shake, Dan Meyer hasn't been anything special either)
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PlayingWithFire wrote:first, he's not a 2nd half pitcher. Let's get that out of the way.
and second, his k/9 in his last year with Oakland was lower than 5 for the first time in his career and k/9 of last year is only 5.3. He's 31, what made you think he'll bounce back? Billy Beane is one of the best GM in the league and there is a reason why he traded Hudson(to give John Schuerholz a fair shake, Dan Meyer hasn't been anything special either)
well, hudson's had near identical #s the past 2 years (about 190 IP, 100Ks, 50bb, 3.50ERA, 1.30WHIP), even in what may be his decline, so it's reasonable to think he'll improve upon this current 4.50 ERA. also, last season hudson's ERA preallstar was 3.78, postallstar was 3.30. and if you want to point out that hudson's preallstar ERA was inflated due to just one month of 7+ ERA, and that's why his postallstar ERA is lower, and so we should factor that out, then that would just mean his overall season ERA last year would be better than 3.50.
and based on what you yourself said, his K/9 rate went up last year compared to 2 years ago? since he had moved to the NL, that probably just means his K/9 rate stayed the same if the team change factored in, so his K rate then has stayed steady. that's a positive sign isn't it?
also, i like billy beane, and i trust most of his decisions, but how has estaban loaiza been working out for him? he's not god, he does make mistakes.
hudson isn't a guy that blows people away with his fastball. his success comes when he keeps the ball low in the zone and uses his sinker effectively. in his last couple of outings he's been doing just that and hopefully he will keep it up (or down depending on how you look at it ) he's a solid 2-3.