giants! wrote:I dont agree completely with number 14. It really depends on the talent involved and other factors such as how many 1 run games, strength of schedule.
But its those other factors (often attributable to luck and variance) that have big contributions to a big 1-year improvement. There are exceptions, but that's why James used the phrase "almost always". And it is a fact, which James did an exhaustive study of. I forget the exact criteria, but its a matter of record -- look at teams that showed a substantial improvement in record for 1 year, and look at how they did the following year.
I wish I saved all my Abstracts ... they got accidentally tossed when I moved out of parents home
Great reading ... and not just "stat-head" stuff.