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It's finally over...

Postby Gepfar » Sat Apr 01, 2006 11:38 pm

12 team 5x5 Roto (BA, HR, RBI, R, SB, W, ERA, WHIP, K, SV)
4th pick in a serpentine draft...here's how it turned out:

C: Varitek
1B: Dunn
2B: Utley
SS: Lopez
3B: Beltre
OF: M. Ramirez
OF: Crisp
OF: Gomes
DH: Sweeney (1B)
Bench: Hall (2/3/SS), J. Guillen, G. Anderson

SP: Peavy, C. Zambrano, Blanton, Harang, Escobar, Penny, Seo, Lilly

RP: F. Rodriguiz, Benitez, Foulke, Weathers

Obviously, my bench is pretty thin and I didn't back up my catcher spot so I could easily get burned there.

What do you think? Suggestions?
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Postby Mike_nyc » Sat Apr 01, 2006 11:54 pm

Great Starting Staff

Benitez just hit dl which hurts your closers

Lineup is pretty good id look to repalce sweeney in the util with a base stealer

Good team tho really good SP
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Postby The Loveable Losers » Sun Apr 02, 2006 12:41 am

I projected this team using Rotowire's projections and my new Excel projection tool (thanks to GTWMA work with examining loads of 12 team standard leagues to find the %tile's for each statistic).

I projected full playing time for your offensive starters, 27 games for Hall and 87 for Anderson to fill out the games played. Guillen is really expendable (or Anderson...they're very similar in expected production and injury risk).

Your pitchers gave me an interesting situation. I'd like to know what your max IP are but I'm going to post my totals two different ways. One is with just over 80% play time for all your SP's and full play time for your closers to fit into my 1250ip projection. This approach assumes that you have a higher number of IP that requires you to use all your starters. The other projection leaves out Harang who projects to be your weakest link...this one assumes that you do indeed have a 1250 max ip.

Projection 1:
#'s R: 868 HR: 280 RBI: 926 SB: 81 AVE: 292
%tile R: 70 HR: 90 RBI: 80 SB: 20 AVE: 90
Points R: 9 HR: 11 RBI: 10 SB: 3 AVE: 11 Offense: 39 - 44

#'s W: 83 SV: 115 K: 1089 ERA: 3.39 WHIP: 1.213
%tile W: 60 SV: 70 K: 70 ERA: 90 WHIP: 90
Points W: 8 SV: 9 K: 9 ERA: 11 WHIP: 11 Pitching: 43 - 48

Total Points: 82 - 92

Projection 2:
#'s R: 868 HR: 280 RBI: 926 SB: 81 AVE: 292
%tile R: 70 HR: 90 RBI: 80 SB: 20 AVE: 90
Points R: 9 HR: 11 RBI: 10 SB: 3 AVE: 11 Offense: 39 - 44

#'s W: 87 SV: 115 K: 1121 ERA: 3.29 WHIP: 1.204
%tile W: 70 SV: 70 K: 80 ERA: 100 WHIP: 90
Points W: 9 SV: 9 K: 10 ERA: 12 WHIP: 11 Pitching: 46 - 51

Total Points: 85 - 95

As you see, losing Harang actually helps you as he's a drag on your staff. You can definitely afford to deal either him or Escobar if you have a 1250 max ip (and start Harang in favorable matchups only if he's the one you keep). If your max is higher you're still in good shape though.

The ONLY thing that keeps this team from being elite (and by elite I mean a dominating team versus just being the favorite to win the league ;) ) is your speed. Drop Guillen or Anderson and try to get a Freel/Gathright type off the FA list. If you can't get one then try to deal Guillen or Anderson (along with Harang or Escobar if you're in a 1250 max IP league) to get someone like that.
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Postby Gepfar » Sun Apr 02, 2006 3:30 pm

Thanks LL...I appreciate the insights.

I actually do not have a max on innings pitched. Instead, we have a minimum of 900, which is easily obtainable without much thought.

We do not have a max, but we have limitted waiver moves (20) for the season, so one can not go out and scour for pitching matchups and make regular moves. I don't see much speed out there on the WW...and I didn't see much to choose from when I grabbed Guillen and Anderson. They, along with Seo and Lilly were some of my last picks. I am sure I could of better spent those picks on prosects. Oh well.

I hope with Lopez, Crisp, Gomes, Utley, I can muster up enough SBs to not finish at the bottom...but I'll keep my eyes open.
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Postby The Loveable Losers » Sun Apr 02, 2006 4:56 pm

Hrmm...Duffy maybe from Pittsburg but not sure he's worth the pick up with limited transactions. Maybe Delmon Young if you hear about him coming up if no one has him. Lastings Milledge the same thing...only if he's coming up.
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