If that many people really thought he could get 15 wins and that type of ERA, I think people would be drafting him higher than he's being taken right now. At present, I think most people consider him a sleeper type pitcher who could bust out and be a huge bargain in the late rounds.
Seriously...we're talking about the Pirates. They haven't had a 15 win starter in the last 5 years...the last one they had was Todd Ritchie with 15 in 1999. The last time before that was Drabek in 1992, also with 15 wins.
Do you really feel that the Pirates are SIGNIFICANTLY better than last year? I don't, and I'm a huge Pirates fan.
I just don't see this club hitting .500 again this year with the talent they presently have. It's hard to have a 15 win season with a sub .500 team unless you're insanely good.
The One, The Only, The Incomparable Mercer Boy.
blog (updated 6/21 - Pirates walkout.)