DWright5 wrote:He is a .300 hitter at every level and higher at most his power will be there because he has the quickest hands and bat in the minors..... he will be a 25-30 HR guy down the road and not to mention he is one of the FASTEST guys around... dont say hes a crawford with less speed he prob is just as fast if not faster he just hasnt had professional base stealing experience like other poeple.. in this prime he will be .300-30-100-40 and will go down as one of hte best mets in history.... if you tink im overhyping him i was also right on the nost w/ David Wright and hes now a top 10 player in baseball at 22!!!
Even if Milledge is as fast as Crawford, he will not steal enough bases early in his major league career to make him as useful fantasy-wise as Crawford has been while his power develops. Here's a sampling of their minor league numbers:
Totals: 412 games, 134 SB/41 CS (77%)
Total through age 20: 327 games, 108 SB/33 CS (77%)
at age 20: 132 games, 36 SB/20 CS aa (64%)
Totals: 204 games, 60 SB/27 CS (69%)
at age 20: 110 games, 29 SB/18 CS a/aa (62%)
Crawford may have been given more chances to steal throughout the minors because he hit leadoff, while Milledge hit in the three-hole, but it is still undeniable that he is the more succesful base thief.
Another worry that I have about Milledge is his injuries. He has missed about 65 games in the past two years. I'm not saying this to say that he is injury-prone. It is more to say that he will probably need more time in the minors because of the time that he has missed.
I also don't see the Mets bringing him up next year and sticking him in the leadoff spot. The number 8 hole in the NL is NOT a great spot to get stolen bases.
I still say he will be a poor man's Crawford for his first few years, and then develop into an Abreu-type or Cameron-type depending on how well he develops. The strikeouts make me compare him to Cameron.