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Fielder Irrationalities

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Fielder Irrationalities

Postby Zito is God » Sun Feb 26, 2006 6:25 pm

I simply cannot see how it is rational to say that Fielder will come in and hit 30 HRs this year. Most are predicting 25 at LEAST, I predict more like 17. I can't see how his first year in the bigs will amount to an all-star season, especially with the young lineup.

Any evidence to justify his predictions?

I have him in my dunasty and am actually not planning on calling him up this entire year unless he flat out rakes.
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Re: Fielder Irrationalities

Postby GotowarMissAgnes » Sun Feb 26, 2006 6:41 pm

Zito is God wrote:I simply cannot see how it is rational to say that Fielder will come in and hit 30 HRs this year. Most are predicting 25 at LEAST, I predict more like 17. I can't see how his first year in the bigs will amount to an all-star season, especially with the young lineup.

Any evidence to justify his predictions?

I have him in my dunasty and am actually not planning on calling him up this entire year unless he flat out rakes.


Why not? Bay hit 26 and he missed a full month of the season. McGwire hit 49. Piazza hit 35 in Dodger Stadium.

Fielder hit 30 last year between AAA and ML in less than 500 plate appearances. The guy has raked every year. Why would we assume he would stop?
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Postby Zito is God » Sun Feb 26, 2006 8:35 pm

Because he hasn't played a full pro season yet. he was mediocre in the bigs during the short chances he did ecieve last year and AAA pitching and MLB pitching has a fine line between them. I just don't see anything better then: .272, 79 R, 17 HRs, 82 RBIs THIS year. Future looks fantastic, but 2006 will likely be an average year.
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Postby nikku88 » Sun Feb 26, 2006 8:47 pm

It wouldn't surprise me to see him hit 25 to 30. Guys like him (power and patience) adjust quicker than normal young players. I don't think his AVG will be too good though.
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Postby baseballyes » Sun Feb 26, 2006 8:48 pm

i could see 30. Ryan Howard hit 22 in 312 at bats... If Fielder hits with the similar, and even worse production than Howard, he is capable of 30 even if it is unlikely. I think 25 is more realistic
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Postby willy-t » Sun Feb 26, 2006 9:36 pm

Brad Eldred hiy like, 12 in 150 ABs last year. i think he'll hit homers but maybe not with great average
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Postby Hbj79 » Sun Feb 26, 2006 9:38 pm

I have him in a Dynasty league as well but brought in Jason Giambi to cover the position for this year (we count OPS). I even suspect Fielder might not breakout until 2008.
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Postby Nene » Sun Feb 26, 2006 9:48 pm

I like how people are stepping up as Fielder experts despite never having seen him play once on TV or in person :-B Who really knows what he will do? :-°
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Postby Hbj79 » Sun Feb 26, 2006 9:53 pm

How do you know people haven't seen him play? Even if you didn't catch him in the minors he did play in Milwaukee last year. Although, even if you have only seen him play in a couple games I think it is reasonable to assume that he will struggle based on his number of k's.
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Postby Zito is God » Sun Feb 26, 2006 10:42 pm

Nene wrote:I like how people are stepping up as Fielder experts despite never having seen him play once on TV or in person :-B Who really knows what he will do? :-°


Umm...I, along with thousands of others, have seen him play last year in Milwakee...
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