Fielder Irrationalities

[Zito is God]

I simply cannot see how it is rational to say that Fielder will come in and hit 30 HRs this year. Most are predicting 25 at LEAST, I predict more like 17. I can't see how his first year in the bigs will amount to an all-star season, especially with the young lineup.

Any evidence to justify his predictions?

I have him in my dunasty and am actually not planning on calling him up this entire year unless he flat out rakes.

[GotowarMissAgnes]

I simply cannot see how it is rational to say that Fielder will come in and hit 30 HRs this year. Most are predicting 25 at LEAST, I predict more like 17. I can't see how his first year in the bigs will amount to an all-star season, especially with the young lineup.

Any evidence to justify his predictions?

I have him in my dunasty and am actually not planning on calling him up this entire year unless he flat out rakes.

Why not? Bay hit 26 and he missed a full month of the season. McGwire hit 49. Piazza hit 35 in Dodger Stadium.

Fielder hit 30 last year between AAA and ML in less than 500 plate appearances. The guy has raked every year. Why would we assume he would stop?

[Zito is God]

Because he hasn't played a full pro season yet. he was mediocre in the bigs during the short chances he did ecieve last year and AAA pitching and MLB pitching has a fine line between them. I just don't see anything better then: .272, 79 R, 17 HRs, 82 RBIs THIS year. Future looks fantastic, but 2006 will likely be an average year.

[nikku88]

It wouldn't surprise me to see him hit 25 to 30. Guys like him (power and patience) adjust quicker than normal young players. I don't think his AVG will be too good though.

[baseballyes]

i could see 30. Ryan Howard hit 22 in 312 at bats... If Fielder hits with the similar, and even worse production than Howard, he is capable of 30 even if it is unlikely. I think 25 is more realistic

[willy-t]

Brad Eldred hiy like, 12 in 150 ABs last year. i think he'll hit homers but maybe not with great average

[Hbj79]

I have him in a Dynasty league as well but brought in Jason Giambi to cover the position for this year (we count OPS). I even suspect Fielder might not breakout until 2008.

[Nene]

I like how people are stepping up as Fielder experts despite never having seen him play once on TV or in person Who really knows what he will do?

[Hbj79]

How do you know people haven't seen him play? Even if you didn't catch him in the minors he did play in Milwaukee last year. Although, even if you have only seen him play in a couple games I think it is reasonable to assume that he will struggle based on his number of k's.

[Zito is God]

I like how people are stepping up as Fielder experts despite never having seen him play once on TV or in person Who really knows what he will do?

Umm...I, along with thousands of others, have seen him play last year in Milwakee...