Just got him in the 10th round of a 12 team draft as a third outfielder behind Beltran and Holliday. I'd say that is a risk WELL worth taking. For those of you talking 5th, 6th round, I'd hold off. I'd bet you can get him later, and if not, somebody else is taking the risk too early instead of you.
I draft March 28th and if by that time he's having no complications and is playing well I think his stock will be high (3-5th round in a 16 man league) and I'll take him if he's there.. I think underneath he wants this record bad and will try to play though pain to break it this year and not have to go through the media circus garbage next year. Giants GM Sabean said yesterday that he hopes to see him in 120 games.. Overall if he got 320-380 AB's we all know he could hit 40-45 because he's proved he can do it.. I expect to see a 42HR, 90 RBI, 180 BB, .325 ave type season IF HE CAN PUT GET THOSE AB'S!
I can't stand Bonds, but in no way would I let that stand in the way of him being on my team, if I can get him at the right draft spot. Esp. in OBP leagues (like mine) he has the potential to carry a category for you. If he were there in the 7-10 round area, I would consider him as a second OF. However, I'm convinced he'll go higher than that in my draft....... I think he'll play about 125-135 games. Should be good for 30-ish homers and 90 rbi. With his AVG, OBP and K rate, he's huge in my league!!
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