I notice you have a lot of young talent that your counting on to produce, and although i agree that many of them will have good years (for example Prince fielder, can't WAIT to see what he can do this year
), it can still be VERY risky to depend on them. Your pitching, although not horrible, isn't mind blowing either. Bonderman and Schmidt are both big names that i like to see, but schmidt, again, is still a small risk.
My evaluation is this - if all of your risks pan out, you have a good chance to contend, but if a few fail to produce, i can easily see you sitting somewhere in the middle as well - Good luck this year