I think it will hurt his numbers a little....He'll be pitched around alot and I don't know how patient a hitter he is, but being how young he is, he will probably get frustrated and start pressing a little bit....It's a tough situation for a young stud to be in...It'll be interesting to see what kind of numbers he can manage, but I do see his weak supporting cast affecting his numbers a great deal
BronXBombers51 wrote:I've got the 10th pick of a 10 team league which counts OPS as a 6th category. I'm pretty sure he'll be on the board but I'm not sure if I want to take him or not. Bay, Cabrera, Wright and Young would be likely other options (back to back picks so I can pick 2.)
Draft is coming up Saturday and I really have no idea whether I want to gamble on Abreu or not.
I'd personally take Bay and Wright out of that group. Bobby is on the downward spiral i think. And M-Cab just doesn't have anyone around him to hit with. He's going to have 34 homers and 35 RBIs.
I'd go with Cabrera and Wright. Lineup protection is a myth.
It's not a myth when the other team has absolutely no one else to fear in the lineup. I wouldn't pitch to the guy once this whole year if I were an opposing manager. 4 walks a game for him. Why not? the rest of the team is AAA talent at best. He wont be able to do what Barry does in 300 some odd PAs.
Jacobs and Hermida are going to provide plenty of "protection" for Cabrera in 2006...if that's what you're worried about. These guys might not be household names, but they have legit major league bats. Cabrera will be fine this year, and well into the future.
I've written a couple of pretty long posts on the subject, do a search of my name and you'll find them.
Basically, there is no evidence to support the claim that pitchers will pitch "around" Cabrera this year. Pitchers simply don't do that in the major leagues as often as many people think. Look at Chavez, Bay, Helton, etc. in 2005.
Cabrera is actually surrounded by 2 very talented young hitters in Hermida and Jacobs. Granted, it's no Carlos Delgado, but Cabrera is a good enough hitter to where it shouldn't matter much. Sure his walks will go up a little, and his Runs and RBI might see a slight drop, but nothing astronomical.
Cabrera is going to have a better year this year than he did last year. Feel comfortable drafting him in the first round.
[size=10]"Men are apt to mistake the strength of their feeling for the strength of their argument." [/size]
My theory is the only time he will get pitched around will be late in a close game. Since the Marlins suck and wont be in many close games shouldnt be a problem. After all pitchers are taught when they have a lead go after the hitter! They cant hit a 5 run HR!