I have been playing fantasy sports for years but am in a unique situation now. I am in a 16 team keeper league (5 keepers) and drafting 15th. The bottom 3 managers in the league at years end are swapped out so you want to make sure you aren't in the bottom 3. I have played with about 5 of these guys and as far as I know, all of the league are knowledgeable and will follow their teams all year so there are no gimmes.
Now for my question. I am thinking about going after 2 speedsters with my first 2 picks and then stocking up on closers and quality SP if available. My thinking is To win SBs, and hope to place in the middle with AVG and possibly RUNs with the hitters. With pitchers, hoping for SAVES, ERA, WHIP, and depending on what starters I can get, middle of the pack with WINS and Ks. With this strategy, I would not really be looking to win this year but finish middle of the pack and hope for a better shot next year. Any thoughts?