I look at lots of differnt projection sources and the players who are toughest for me are the ones who get projected all over the map. Thinkspin hit on that with Rickie Weeks, he's definately one of them. Another guy that I see projected real high by some and way down by others is Adrian Beltre. My take is both of these guys might come cheaper than they produce.
Beltre is someone I'm having a real tough time with...We have all seen his upside, and I think that where he is being taken this year makes it really easy to take a risk on him......However, there are about 10 or more guys you can rank ahead of him at that possition...SO the question is, do you want to spend top dollar on guys like wright, cabrera, or ARAM, or grab mediocre 3B in the middle of the draft like Glaus, Cantu, Chavez, Blalock, Chipper, and Ensberg, or settle on Beltre in the 11-15 round who is capable of putting up monster numbers, but may disapoint....
I'm very tempted to wait and scoop up Beltre late this year.....I can see .275/27/108....
Because you think he could make a leap this year or because he's being overhyped a bit? You always bring the goods so I'm interested in your thoughts on him.
Because you think he could make a leap this year or because he's being overhyped a bit? You always bring the goods so I'm interested in your thoughts on him.
All of the above. He's obviously a great contributor on Ks and should be good for ERA. I think TB could surprise people, making him possibly a decent contributor in wins with some run support. But, I can also see that team being just as bad, and him not winning 10 games. And then WHIP projections are all over the map; I've seen everything from 1.25 to 1.55. His comps on baseballreference are horrible, but to do what he has done at 20 and 21 is pretty amazing.
Because you think he could make a leap this year or because he's being overhyped a bit? You always bring the goods so I'm interested in your thoughts on him.
All of the above. He's obviously a great contributor on Ks and should be good for ERA. I think TB could surprise people, making him possibly a decent contributor in wins with some run support. But, I can also see that team being just as bad, and him not winning 10 games. And then WHIP projections are all over the map; I've seen everything from 1.25 to 1.55. His comps on baseballreference are horrible, but to do what he has done at 20 and 21 is pretty amazing.
Kazmir was a great choice for this list, because he could either be ready to break out, or he could continue to pitch in mediocrity. I'm really on the fence with him as well.
Here are mine:
1) Ivan Rodriguez - The average will obviously come up from .276, but by how much? And will the RBI totals follow suit?
2) Troy Glaus - If not for the injury concerns, would he really be worth much less than Adam Dunn? Moving out of the BOB, but into a slightly better lineup.
3) Jose Guillen - Home/road splits are ridiculous, and I'm not real sure what to make of it. Still just 29 and will be playing for the same team two years in a row for first time since '02-'03.
Oh, and no one mentioned Giambi, but he's a no-brainer for this discussion just like Bonds is.