I think Howard has shown more than Morneau did in the past. Im expecting a good season out of Howard and have him above Giambi in my rankings. It seems like Im always down on players with hype like Howard and more time than not I get burned...well not this year. I see the guy having a great year and major league career.
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I honestly think its maddening that ortiz is still not considered a tier 1 player. He HAS all the tools, I see him putting up better numbers then Pujols because of the aging STL lineup this season...
Prince Fielder and Chad Tracy in the same tier? Kidding right? Tracy had a fantastic year, prince is ASSUMED to have a fantastic year. I remember when Ryan Leaf was a tier 3 QB, then what happened? You can't base tiers on rpediction with no major league experience, I don't see this valid.
As far as third baseman go I NEED to see Hillenbrandt higher on everyone's list. The guy has you covered in bategories across the board, as well as playing in a better lineup this year then last. I see him as a guy who will surprise this year and will jump at least a couple of tiers come 2007.
Sean Tracey has my apologies, we all know Ozzie Guillen is an idiot. I'm rooting for you!
I should have qualified any remarks re Prince Fielder by explaining my suspicions that the Brewers are the sleeper team this year!
That being said, I'd better read up on Chad Tracy some more to see if he's warranted. Really, I'm aiming at a few 3B early so I don't think I'll be in the market. Which, of course, means someone else will take *MY* 3B and I'll end up w/ Tracy, so I'd better get used to him....
Also, I did not by any means mean to imply that the tiers or anything anyone really has posted are 'wrong' just that I find broader tiers more useful for drafting and sorting through players. All this stuff is largely guesses at this point anyway. I think that where you get stuff is from arguing back and forth about it. IT is doubly frustrating, of course, because all of my friends IRL that I might discuss these issues with are in the league so, obviously, we are ONLY talking about college hoops until the draft! hee hee...
I'm much lower on D. Lee than most people are. I don't think I can be convinced that he'll repeat his monster season. I still see a great season (upper 30 HR, 110 RBI, 10-15 SB, possible .300 AVG) but not enough to place him with Pujols and Teixiera.
I guess you could make a case for Ortiz being in tier 1 but I can't see how he puts up the same numbers as last year. I believe last year was his career year and losing Damon won't help matters. Still a great option, but I can see both Teixiera and Pujols improving upon last year, while I cannot see that from Ortiz.
I've been toying with the idea of moving Giambi up near or ahead of Sexson. I think he has the ability to hang in that tier, I'm just a little more nervous about him than I would be about others in that class.
If Teix is tier 1 than I think Ortiz is as well, they will put up nearly identical numbers most likely. While I think Ortiz will start to regress some there is no gaurentee that Teix is going to 720 PA's again which is just an insane amount. I would draft Teix over Ortiz on upside but I can't say that one is clearly a large step better than the other.
Konerko and Delgado aren't even the best hitters in tier 3, so they are fine right where they are.
Putting Arod in a tier by himself is pointless, everyone knows he's a #1 or #2 pick, just stick Wright and Cabrera in tier 1 and save yourself a tier.
I don't really see Ensberg being a full tier over Blalock. If you look at the 2 year averages Blalock is better, if you look at the 3 year average Blalock is better. Blalock is younger by 5 years and he's in a better lineup.