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Ryan Howard's Pecota 90th percentile

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Ryan Howard's Pecota 90th percentile

Postby reynolds80 » Tue Feb 14, 2006 3:25 am

This one really caught my eye:

.331-61-153
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Postby intense » Tue Feb 14, 2006 3:40 am

what does this mean?
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Postby BGbootha » Tue Feb 14, 2006 3:51 am

Glad I clicked to see what this was about.


:-?
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Postby Cleveland Steamers » Tue Feb 14, 2006 4:12 am

If those numbers became a reality I may poop myself since Ive gotten him in every money league Im in....
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Postby RynMan » Tue Feb 14, 2006 6:15 am

Makes sense, considering his PECOTA weighted mean predicts 41 HR's this season.
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Postby Bing Hampton » Tue Feb 14, 2006 8:12 am

I think a lot of people are going to be really disappointed when Howard "only" puts up 30 and 80 this year with a 265 BA.
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Postby Ender » Tue Feb 14, 2006 9:13 am

intense wrote:what does this mean?


It basically means those are the best stats the system could imagine him putting up. Its extremely high on Howard but I think this is one case where it fails.
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Postby thedude » Tue Feb 14, 2006 10:40 am

Ir means that in comparing Howard to past players there is a 10% chance that he goes off this year. There is also a chance he hits 23hrs/236.
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Postby reiser » Tue Feb 14, 2006 11:29 am

RynMan wrote:Makes sense, considering his PECOTA weighted mean predicts 41 HR's this season.


that .371 in AAA last year doesn't make that projection seem that far-fetched.
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Postby djacks » Tue Feb 14, 2006 11:34 am

Bing Hampton wrote:I think a lot of people are going to be really disappointed when Howard "only" puts up 30 and 80 this year with a 265 BA.


I couldn't agree more...if Howard doesn't improve against LHP he will never reach the levels that everyone has him attaining.
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