That is a nice set of rules, with the exception of #11. Perhaps the rule should be "When in doubt go with the NL pitcher" or "Late In The Draft, Pickup Only NL Pitchers" There are far too many good AL pitchers (Santana,Haren,Johnson,etc) to completely ignore one league.
Personally, my rule would be "Pickup dominant AL pitchers early in the draft, pickup marginal NL picthers late". My rationale is that dominant AL pitchers stay in a game longer, and keep piling up favorable stats and W's. I had Santana a couple of years ago, and I was very glad he was in the AL, as there were 7-8 situations over the course of the year where he stayed in longer because he was in the AL. I think the reverse is true towards the end of a draft. Then, I would pick up the marginal NL pitcher , who is more likely to be lifted when he still has a lead. I would also target favorable pitchers parks in the NL late, like San Diego, SF, NYM, LAD.
Players get hurt and that is the way it is. Edmonds is not a part-time player. If he is healthy he is going to be in the lineup. If you want to call him an injury risk, then fine, but he is neither a part-timer nor a platoon player.
Also, a lot of this list is simple basic strategy. Those who have played this game long enough know the wisdom of hitting over pitching in the early rounds and avoiding any undue injury risk or underperformance risk in the early rounds.
If you want to add something learned from last year how about these:
1. Closers really are impossible to predict. There was roughly a 50% turnover rate from the start of the season in the closing jobs throughout MLB.
2. SP at the top end has thinned out and in the middle has widened. Lots of mid-tier guys. Not many Santana or even Oswalt types around these days.
3. Roids took its toll on many a fantasy player last season. We saw complete busts from Sosa and Boone, Beltre and Thome (maybe?), Palmeiro, Bonds, etc. And there are a number of others who one suspects was a juicer but you just are not 100% sure (Helton and Prior for instance).
4. Pitchers going to the NL from the AL are supposed to improve, unless of course they get hurt or their name is Mark Mulder.
5. Washington is an extreme pitcher's park and even a mediocre SP can do well there.
6. The thin air of Coors means nothing if a bunch of AA players are in the lineup.
Last edited by TheYanks04 on Tue Feb 14, 2006 1:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
On this very topic, I have Bengie Molina and Ramon Hernandez from last year in a keeper league. If they both stayed in the same leagues I would go with the younger and higher upside Hernandez but I sorta agree with Rule 7 so I don't know if I should keep Bengie instead. This is a tough call here. Releasing them both and going after a catcher in the draft is another possibility although I don't have many other good keepers on that team so it's still up in the air:
Molina or Hernandez for 2006?
[b]Bold Predictions:[/b]
Grady Sizemore will have more value than Jason Bay regardless of draft position
Aramis Ramirez in 155 G will hit over .300 40 HR 110 RBIs
Brian McCann will have more value than Jorge Posada regardless of draft position
On this very topic, I have Bengie Molina and Ramon Hernandez from last year in a keeper league. If they both stayed in the same leagues I would go with the younger and higher upside Hernandez but I sorta agree with Rule 7 so I don't know if I should keep Bengie instead. This is a tough call here. Releasing them both and going after a catcher in the draft is another possibility although I don't have many other good keepers on that team so it's still up in the air:
Molina or Hernandez for 2006?
RH... He was with the A's previously so adjusting to new pitchers and parks should not be a major factor. He is also the better player imo.
TheYanks04 wrote:6. The thin air of Coors means nothing if a bunch of AA players are in the lineup.
Rockies were 4th in runs scored at home out of 30.
Helton, Holliday, Atkins were 1-2-3 in NL home BA.
Steve-o, where are you coming up with a huge ops decrease switching leagues? Everything i have seen, shows a possible early struggle, but over a year nothing significant.
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HOOTIE wrote:Steve-o, where are you coming up with a huge ops decrease switching leagues? Everything i have seen, shows a possible early struggle, but over a year nothing significant.
I remember reading it somewhere last year. I will see if I can find the article. That diary entry was also from early on in the year, so it is entirely possible that you are right and that it evens out over teh course of the year.
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Has it gotten to the point now where every player that has a down year or has some sort of injury MUST HAVE BEEN on steriods...?!?
Give me a break with the witch hunt...
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