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Pedro is better than Schmidt
Morris and Wood are pretty even
Hudson and Millwood are pretty even
Colon is better than Willis
Therefore, the two staffs are very even. I will give the edge to team 2 though because of the presence of Pedro, who is easily the best pitcher in the game.
what? colon is more valuable than willis...? maybe i'm missing something, but in 10 starts the kid is 8-1 with a 2.26 era. he's tore through a handful of teams twice, so i think injury potential and fatigue are going to be his biggest adversary this season.
Of course Colon is more valuable than Willis. He is a consistent proven ace and workhorse. Willis is a rookie that is going to go through rough periods and will get lit up from time to time, especially as teams see him more than once and scouting reports get out. Consider his last two starts against the Mets. His first start, he dominated, 1 hit in a complete game. He faces them again the next start and gave up 9 hits in 7 innings. This indicates that he is more hittable second time through and if he was playing a team that actually could hit in the clutch or capitalize on its baserunners, he could have given up way more than 2 earned runs.
If you think Willis is going to keep his ERA in the low 2.00's, you are dreaming. At best, it will go up to around 3.50 as the league figures out how to hit him. Also, don't expect the wins to keep up either; he has gotten lucky on run support so far and the Marlins are a weak offensive team that will only get weaker once they start the inevitable trading off of Lowell, etc. Colon is on a team whose offense seems to be coming around and there are also rumours he could be traded to a contender.
I think the two are very close.
Pedro (healthy)over Schimdt
Wood (k's) over Morris
Millwood=Hudson
Colon over Willis because Colon is proven. Willis may be like Nomo when he 1st entered. 1st two years Nomo was really good, Low ERA, lots of K's and an innings eater. Once everyone got used to Nomo's funky delivery he started getting lit up for the next 5 years ERA avg nearly 4.50 and 100 less K's every yr. Innings also saw a sharp decline. He had to learn how to pitch and seems he may have done that this year. So Willis may actually continue to have a really good year this year.. and possibly next. But they'll catch up to him when they see him enough. Until then.. ride that train!
I don't care if Colon is proven.... I thought we were talking about the best staff. And it is the second team. Willis is better than Colon.
I got the impression that it was the better staff for a fantasy team this year. Am I right?
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