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Postby hybrid » Sun Feb 12, 2006 10:44 pm

I'd take Pelfrey because I know he will be starting and has the a lot of upside. I'm sure some will say Zumaya, but I'm just not sold on him staying a starter.
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Postby rhd » Sun Feb 12, 2006 11:30 pm

My 3 pitchers would be:

- Billingsley
- Zumaya (if he's not a starter, I think he'll be a closer)
- Lester
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Postby Jenkins » Sun Feb 12, 2006 11:52 pm

thedude wrote:
My problem with Pelfrey is, TINSTAAPP.


.



What does TINSTAAPP mean?
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Postby rhd » Sun Feb 12, 2006 11:58 pm

There
Is
No
Such
Thing
As
A
Pitching
Prospect
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Postby thedude » Mon Feb 13, 2006 1:35 am

hybrid wrote:
thedude wrote:My problem with Pelfrey is, TINSTAAPP.


I'd go Butler, Kendrick, and Saltalamacchia.

One good DH power hitter, a potenial batting champ. Salty is the real deal, and cathcer who can hit are hard to find.


I think it gets to the point where it's just over-stated. If you have a top pitching prospect and they have no glaring reasons for them getting hurt, you go ahead and take them. Salty is just as likely to move to another position as Pelfrey is to have a major injury, and that would dim his value quite a bit.


I agree. And i like Pelfrey very much. But that fact is that he is probably the most likely top pitching prospect to get hurt, he has yet to face the rigors of a six month season. If he gets through this season unblemished he moves up a lot on my rankings for next year.

I am personally to risk averse to take a guy who has yet to prove him self in pro ball when there are guys, who i think have nearly as much upside, aviable.
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Postby hybrid » Mon Feb 13, 2006 10:32 am

Well, first of all I can think of other pitching prospects that are more likely to get hurt and I don't see how you can say it's a fact that he the most likely. He has nothing on his record that says he will, not saying he won't ... but it's less likely. Also minor leaguers don't play 6 months, they play 5 months which is basically the same as college baseball if you make it to the CWS. Yes college doesn't play as many games, but pitchers pitch more often (and go deeper in games in Pelfrey's case) making up for that.

Pelfrey last year pitched 140 innings in college. Look at other top pitching prospects who didn't get to much extra starts in the majors: Billingsley 146, Zumaya 151, Petit 133, Reyes 129 (13 MLB IP), Verlander 119 (11 MLB IP).
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