j_d_mcnugent wrote:20/80 is possible, but if lowell is basically just going .270, 20hr, 80rbi, 70r, 3sb thats not going to make him a top ten 2b. he would need get more runs or get back to his days of 25+ homers. not a bad sleeper at 2b, but if he isnt going to steal bases he needs to hit for more power to break into the top 10.
Not enough to be in the top-10? How so? Figure that Iguchi/Polanco/Loretta will be somewhere in that vicinity, why would Lowell not be as valuable as them?
It's safe to say there are likely 7 2B projected to outearn Lowell by a fair margin, ( in no order Utley, Figgins, Soriano, Giles, Kent, Cantu, Roberts). Lowell sits somewhere in a big closely ranked group beneath them that also includes Weeks, Iguchi, Cano, Loretta, Polanco, Castillo, Biggio, Ellis, Belliard, and Freel. Is Lowell (at 270 20 80) the 3rd best of this group? Does it even matter? There will be several interchangable 2B if you miss the top guys. Also you'd like to get some SB from that position. Personally it'd be hard to pass on the 25-25 potential of Weeks or the near certain 15-15 of Iguchi to take mike Lowell, and I'm one who believes Lowell will improve this season. His LF linedrive swing is tailored to that park. He won't have to try and pull ball off the monster, he's pulled everything his whole career.