Funny, Bonds is the Big White Elephant sitting in this thread.
I've NEVER seen a coming draft so impacted by one guy before. The reason is simple.
Let's look at Bonds. Back in the late nineties and turn of the century, he was a sure-fire first rounder in the group with Big Mac, Sammy And Gonzo... back then if you didn't have at least one of those guys it was tough to compete. Then, as the A-Rods, Vlads and Pujols moved in and power totals calmed a bit, players like Barry became less of a neccesity, sure he was good for fifty homers but as he aged many, like myself, felt he wasn't worth the risk and others were able to take him in the late first or second round.
Then last season, nobody wanted this guy after all that mess in Spring Training... someone probably took him in the sixth round or so, but it sure wasn't me.
But here we are, after a brief taste of what might be this season last September Barry is prepping for the last big run at history... that of Aaron's record. He is currently 47 away.
That puts the wager at what, 4-1 that he ties/breaks it in 06?
Maybe 2.5-1 that he cracks 40 homers?
Another 3-1 that he tears his knee prior to hitting twenty?
THERE HAS NEVER BEEN A RISK REWARD PLAYER LIKE BONDS IN 06.
Because I don't think most people WANT to draft him. But as the third and fourth rounds start coming and going and his name is still sitting on the board... and you know you have a 3-1 shot of getting an absolute moster, it's gonna get very hard to not go "all in" at a certain point...
The best fantasy question in years is upon us: At what point do you go for Bonds? Somebody's gonna get him, and they'll either get a great bargain on a record setting season or they'll get an invalid.
At what point do you become that somebody? Everyone playing fantasy baseball this coming season WILL HAVE TO HAVE A CLEARLY DEFINED answer to that question prior to their draft.
And it is ABSOLUTELY way too early to answer that question.