Jenkins wrote:I am ready for Niemann, he is going to dominate. Dont know much about Townsend except he that he was a gigantic waste of a first round pick. Hopefully, this new GM has some clue of how to draft.
I would not call Townsend a waste of a pick just yet, as he showed great potential at Rice. As far as the past GM, I thought he did a great job on most of his drafts as he reached alot of times to get the 5 tool player instead of the "best" or "easiest to sign" player. This landed us Delmon, BJ, Niemann, and many others that you would think a "cheap" team like the Drays would pass on. Of course I will admit this theory also failed some as well when we selected Brazelton instead of Tex or Wright. I really could handle it if Lamar was still around but I would probably have gone crazy if Naimoli had hung around as imo he was our biggest problem.
Personally I'm not a big fan of Townsend at all, never was even before the injury. He profiled better as a bull pen guy then and still does, except now he can't stay healthy. In my mind Bryan Morris is our first round pick if we sign him, I'm much more high on him then Townsend. If Townsend can become a good set up guy, he will meet the expectations I have for him ... and I have doubts he will ever get here.
I still have some hope for Niemann being the dominated presence he was in college, but it's dimmed some now. I'd be happy if he turned into a pretty good #2, with the potential to have some very good years (hopefully right behind Kaz).
The risk is any young pitcher can get hurt. But, at least, we went college pitcher. However, you can never be too sure. But look at the increased risks of HS pitchers. For every Beckett there are two Taylors
Honestly, it isn't as if FA pitchers are knocking down the door to come here. As such, the Rays have to develop their own or trade for it, and this off-season has shown how teams value young pitching. You can't simply draft offense only. So one got hurt, that doesn't mean you stop drafting pitchers.
As for Townsend specifically, I'm not a scout. But I only read good things about him in pretty much every publication before he was drafted. While it doesn't guarantee success, it isn't as if the Rays were alone in their high opinion of him.
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