rlee wrote:Miss Agnes and the Bronx Bomber, both of you are predicting 30 dingers for him. That seems to me to be an awful lot for a rookie. Do you the rest of you Cafeers think he'll show this much power?
His current MLB performance projects to a 162 game average of 20 HRs, and that includes Sept., when his thumb really bothered him. Prior to that he was on pace for 25+ for a full season. Between AAA and MLB last season he hit 25 homers, as well as 38 additional XBH.
So, I don't think 30/30 is a lock, but I do think it is well within his reach (and he's not a rookie). Barring injury, I'd say 20/20 is a lock, 20/30 is very likely, and 30/30 is a decent possibility.