I'm not sure what to expect from him this year. The power and base stealing ability he showed was evident, but I'm concerned about the deep slump he fell into toward the end of last year. I know he was playing with an injured thumb (?), but I don't know how to read the effect of that.
He's not going to hit for average, but assuming recovery from the thumb injury, I'd expect 30-30 with R+RBI totaling 170+, with the split depending on where they bat him.
Miss Agnes and the Bronx Bomber, both of you are predicting 30 dingers for him. That seems to me to be an awful lot for a rookie. Do you the rest of you Cafeers think he'll show this much power?
I think Rickie might struggle this year... he'll hit 20-20 for sure (pending injury)
I wouldn't touch him to be my starting second basemen for a one year league (12 or so teams)... but if you are in a deep league (16+ teams), then yes you must consider him.
If you are in a dynasty league, take Weeks at around 80-100 overall. I'm not sold on him next year, but signs point to him being deadly for years to come.
I think he'll be pretty darn good this year. Top 10 in my opinion. I'm looking for something like .275/25 HR/35 SB. He has the potential for more, it's just a matter of whether it happens this year. It'd be easy to look at last year's slump and right him off. I'd really advise against that. He had a torn ligament in his thumb. I would imagine that would alter one's swing quite a bit. It's been surgically repaired and he should be 100%.
rlee wrote:Miss Agnes and the Bronx Bomber, both of you are predicting 30 dingers for him. That seems to me to be an awful lot for a rookie. Do you the rest of you Cafeers think he'll show this much power?
His current MLB performance projects to a 162 game average of 20 HRs, and that includes Sept., when his thumb really bothered him. Prior to that he was on pace for 25+ for a full season. Between AAA and MLB last season he hit 25 homers, as well as 38 additional XBH.
So, I don't think 30/30 is a lock, but I do think it is well within his reach (and he's not a rookie). Barring injury, I'd say 20/20 is a lock, 20/30 is very likely, and 30/30 is a decent possibility.