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Pythagenport teams records

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Postby baseballnewb » Mon Dec 12, 2005 12:00 am

A single season of baseball does not come close to a meaningful sample of statistics, luck is going to play a large roll in everything.

To use a specific example, in the first half both the white sox and the nationals were way over their pythagorean record and both of those teams slid in the second half.

However I will agree that the stat is far from perfect, bullpen strength really throws it off as you use your best RP's in close games.
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Postby looptid » Mon Dec 12, 2005 1:33 am

GotowarMissAgnes wrote:5. So, looking at the 3rd order Pythagenports tends to be a better predictor.

I'd like to second that. Take the aforementioned Blue Jays as an example. They were inefficient (or unlucky) if you look at their record compared to their run differential. But, they were efficient or lucky, based on compent runs created models, in the number of runs they scored and the number of runs they prevented.
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Postby garf112 » Mon Dec 12, 2005 6:38 pm

I think Billy Beane made these stats up so it would look like the A's should have made the playoffs. He should stick to writing books.

**Please note sarcasm above**

Good to see my Mets should have won the Wild Card (and by .7 of a game).
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