wkelly91 wrote:And FWIW, I'm the guy that selected Pujols in the first round of his keeper draft after his rookie season, while fantasy mags screamed about sophomore slumps and my fellow managers laughed. Thanks to their generosity and the inability of lots of fantasy players to understand how to use minor league stats, I'm sitting on my second title.
There are a lot of us guys like that re: Pujols.
As for Sizemore, I think (oddly) everyone's right on this one. It looks like Sizemore's for real, but he could potentially stink next year. Some may say he's worth a 3rd rounder (put me in for a 5th rounder myself), some may say he's not, but either way, he's worth a gamble if you like taking moderate risks. One thing is clear, he's no Vlad yet, but he's probably no Podsednik either.
I think most of the points made here are correct as well. The thing about Sizemore and Morneau is that the 3rd round is too soon for them because they should have been picked up in the 15th round LAST YEAR (or in morneau's case, the year prior). This doesnt apply to re-draft leagues, but in keeper leagues, wise managers would have had Sizemore in their scopes long before this year's draft. Draft them late and you dont have huge investment in them >im impressed with the guys who drafted Pujols BEFORE his rookie year, not after...
Francoeur will be overrated going into this year. He has a career .330 OBP in the Minors and it doesn't look like it will change anytime soon in the majors. He will be lucky to get 14-15 hrs in 500+ ABs this year if I were to guess.
Franceours defense will be awesome, but I have a hard time seeing him getting 400 ABs next year. I really think he will struggle mightily next year in the bigs, and even though I think he will become a good player in the future, I will be avoiding him next year. In fact if he hits 265 with 20 homers next year, I would be thrilled.
I actually like him for next year. Not a total stud but maybe the same numbers just a little better siince he'll get a full season of play most likely. Ya his K/BB ratio is scary and has always been in the minors too and I know that always hints at failure but that has never really seemed to slow him down. To an actual major league team that might hurt, but unless your league counts batter K's, BB's, or K/BB ratios(which 90% probably don't) then I wouldn't be too worried about the K/BB ratio.