Well, the point is that Hardy's a rookie, and sucked it up the first half. However, as he got more attuned to ML pitching, he picked it up in a big way.. That may be a way to look at Hardy's second half as different from other players'.
brandnew wrote:Well, the point is that Hardy's a rookie, and sucked it up the first half. However, as he got more attuned to ML pitching, he picked it up in a big way.. That may be a way to look at Hardy's second half as different from other players'.
The first guy in my example was also a rookie who hit just .259 in the first half of 2004.
The second guy was also a young 24 year old who looked like he was having a breakout 2004.
I don't mean to suggest that Hardy will tank, because I think he's got all-star potential, although he's a high injuy risk. But it's really not smart strategy to evaluate players based on a half season. At most, i might make it a "final straw" on two players who are relatively equal otherwise.
For those of you who said JJ Hardy you are correct. I agree with you GTWMA that you can't always judge someone on half a year. I'm just hoping that the improvement Hardy showed in the 2nd half will make him a solid backup for me next year if I can get him late in the draft.
To be fair to Khalil, he was hurt multiple times this past season, including a hand injury on his right hand. Swinging a bat with that kind of injury has to be difficult, to say the least.
In the last two months, Khalil did hit 8 homers, drove in 31 rbi, and slugged .506.
Granted, I still wouldn't draft him next season: he's not worth the risk, especially while still playing 1/2 his games in Petco.
I read something somewhere that compared JJ Hardy to a young Miguel Tejada. My uninformed guess would be that his prime would look something like .290 90 25 100 10 which isn't bad but probably not a superstar.
[b]Bold Predictions:[/b]
Grady Sizemore will have more value than Jason Bay regardless of draft position
Aramis Ramirez in 155 G will hit over .300 40 HR 110 RBIs
Brian McCann will have more value than Jorge Posada regardless of draft position
I don't think Hardy and Tejada are very comparable. Hardy has shown less power at his age than Tejada did, although he does seem to have much more patience at the plate.
Hardy's numbers are much more comparable to a young Larkin than Tejada. Either way, he still has a way to progress to get to that level and I don't think he'll do that soon enough to have much fantasy value next season.