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Blalock is a fraud

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Postby Pogotheostrich » Mon Oct 10, 2005 10:46 am

Fraud? Come on. The guy had a bad year and regressed some.
Look past 2005. People wrote off Ensberg after 2004.
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Postby Yoda » Mon Oct 10, 2005 11:35 am

Blalock has proven he can hit at this level with power and average. He is still a work in progress as we saw him in his rookie year and now 05. He is immensely talented and we've seen he can hit .300, 30 HRs.

Just b/c he has one bad year prepeak doesn't mean he is overrated. He is no Beltre that is for sure.
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Postby The Loveable Losers » Mon Oct 10, 2005 12:07 pm

I'm just glad I traded Blalock away right after the ASB in my main redraft league :) I think that series of two trades (which sent away Crawford, Beltran, Blalock and Hermanson for Pujols and Ichiro) probably won me the league.
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Postby Yoda » Mon Oct 10, 2005 12:18 pm

Seems like Blalock might be a pretty decent bargain. I'm glad he had a bad year.
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Postby clevername » Mon Oct 10, 2005 12:30 pm

the good thing about Blalock's performance for those of us who traded him in keeper leagues is that he may not get kept...thus allowing us to pick him back up in the re-drafts.
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Postby JTWood » Mon Oct 10, 2005 12:54 pm

Pogotheostrich wrote:People wrote off Ensberg after 2004.

Who?

;-7 ;-)
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Postby JTWood » Mon Oct 10, 2005 12:55 pm

NZF,

I kinda wish you were in my league. I'd take Blalock off your hands at the value you seem to be assigning him.

Keep up the propoganda, boys. Maybe I'll get him as a great buy-low this off-season.

;-D
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Postby GotowarMissAgnes » Mon Oct 10, 2005 1:34 pm

WittyC wrote:How quickly we forget the past...

Blalock actually hit lefties better than righties for average in '04 (.282 to .273), so he has done it in the past.

I would bet the farm that he'll be practicing against a lot of southpaws in the offseason to eliminate whatever hole he developed against them this year.

Expecting him in the same class as A-Rod, M-Cab, A-Ram or Wright would be silly, but I think he'll be back in the top-10 easy in '06.

Maybe he is a "fraud" for playing at Ameriquest, but for fantasy purposes, what is better than a guy who has predictable splits? Grab Blalock in the fourth round and Atkins much later and rotate for home field.


And, if you had read Baseball Prospectus, you would have known that one year fluctuations in BA splits happen all the time and are a remarkably unreliable guide.

I'd be far more worried about his road splits than I would about his lefty splits. Outside of Coors Southwestern branch, he's not very good.
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Postby San D » Mon Oct 10, 2005 1:57 pm

If a young 24 or 25 year old who plays in Texas has a bad year, has huge talent, and has shown flashes of brilliance, I am all over him.......especially in a keeper league. 5th round in a 12 team ML league.
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Postby WittyC » Mon Oct 10, 2005 2:41 pm

GotowarMissAgnes wrote:
WittyC wrote:How quickly we forget the past...

Blalock actually hit lefties better than righties for average in '04 (.282 to .273), so he has done it in the past.

I would bet the farm that he'll be practicing against a lot of southpaws in the offseason to eliminate whatever hole he developed against them this year.

Expecting him in the same class as A-Rod, M-Cab, A-Ram or Wright would be silly, but I think he'll be back in the top-10 easy in '06.

Maybe he is a "fraud" for playing at Ameriquest, but for fantasy purposes, what is better than a guy who has predictable splits? Grab Blalock in the fourth round and Atkins much later and rotate for home field.


And, if you had read Baseball Prospectus, you would have known that one year fluctuations in BA splits happen all the time and are a remarkably unreliable guide.

I'd be far more worried about his road splits than I would about his lefty splits. Outside of Coors Southwestern branch, he's not very good.


I have to argue that a sample size of 1,985 at bats, 624 of which had a miniscule L/R disparity, is far too small to infer a trend with fluctuations.

Even if he does turn out to be a righty-hitting specialist, he'll still have a spot on the roster. He'll lose AB's, but just like Trot Nixon, he's a great matchup player for fantasy purposes.

And I have to reiterate, that ballpark advantage is irrelavant for a fantasy discussion unless Blalock gets dealt. I mean, Teixiera hit 64 points better this year at home, but I don't see anyone pointing a finger at him.
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