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Swisher

Postby Pogotheostrich » Thu Oct 06, 2005 8:54 am

I originally posted this in someone's keeper question but I haven't gotten an responses so...

OK what am I missing about Swisher. 21 HR for a OF isn't that great and he hit .234. That makes Adam Dunn look like Ichiro. If you play in a OBP league he's better but I still not great.

Best case scenerio what are we looking at:
90 R, 35 HR, 100 RBI, 0 SB and .250 BA.

That's best case IMO worst case could get real ugly. Opinions?
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Postby RynMan » Thu Oct 06, 2005 9:53 am

Yep, I think you've got your projections about right minus a few RBIs.
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Postby StlSluggers » Thu Oct 06, 2005 1:24 pm

Has anyone genetically tested Swisher to see if he's related to Dunn?
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Postby SaintsOfTheDiamond » Thu Oct 06, 2005 6:12 pm

I don't know that I ever considered him a great fantasy option for most 10-12 team, 5x5 leagues, rather he's a very good young player who means a lot more to his real team than he ever will to a fantasy squad. As for the numbers, I agree with Ryn. Depending on what the A's do this offseason those numbers could certainly change, but I like your lineup-independent numbers. ;-D
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Postby Half Massed » Fri Oct 07, 2005 2:53 am

It seems he'll never be a high average guy, but this was his rookie season. If he's a little more patient next year, he'll not only cut down his k/bb ratio, he'll see a pitch he likes eventually and will more likely hit for a higher average. I doubt we'll see .300 out of him, but he could bring the average higher. The rest of the numbers sound about right to me.
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Re: Swisher

Postby wrveres » Fri Oct 07, 2005 6:43 am

Pogotheostrich wrote:I originally posted this in someone's keeper question but I haven't gotten an responses so...

OK what am I missing about Swisher. 21 HR for a OF isn't that great and he hit .234. That makes Adam Dunn look like Ichiro. If you play in a OBP league he's better but I still not great.

Best case scenerio what are we looking at:
90 R, 35 HR, 100 RBI, 0 SB and .250 BA.

That's best case IMO worst case could get real ugly. Opinions?


I said the exact same thing last spring. ;-D
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Postby Mookie4ever » Fri Oct 07, 2005 7:29 am

I actually think that he is going to take a step back next year. The A's won't be satisfied with a .320 OBP and are going to screw him up. He was actually up to .259 in August then went into a horrible slide to finish up where he is. He is going to try to be something that he isn't and will end up in a sophomore slump.
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Re: Swisher

Postby Pogotheostrich » Fri Oct 07, 2005 9:06 am

wrveres wrote:I said the exact same thing last spring. ;-D
Me too. I was just surprised to see him on a number of rosters this year. :-?
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Postby chadlincoln » Fri Oct 07, 2005 12:11 pm

I think his average will increase over time. It was his rookie year. He is a mini Adam Dunn.
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Postby cristóbal » Fri Oct 07, 2005 5:05 pm

i watch him play routinely and honestly have never been that impresed... next year - .260 .345 25 85
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