nuggets wrote:Really it's splitting hairs and subject to interpretation. Many of the indicators are close.
I base my statement on their PECOTA profiles. Willis has the higher breakout rate, improve rate and lower Collapse and attrition rate. He also has the higher predicted VORP over the next four years.
This does seem odd for a sp with a K rate of 3 K per 9 lower. Can you give any insight why, or a link?
Any explanation why in 04, Willis had a 4.02 era? It wasn't bad luck, as his hit rate % (31), and strand rate % (73), were within the norm? His K rate in 04 was under the NL avg that year.