Top 25 Keepers for 2006!

[messyjesse1]

Here is my mock top 25 in the order they will be drafted next year in a keeper league....feel free to post yours or correct mine!

1. Albert Pujols
2. Alex Rodriguez
3. Vlad Guerrero
4. Miguel Cabrera
5. Mark Teixeira
6. David Ortiz
7. Miguel Tejada
8. Alfonso Soriano
9. Johan Santana
10. Manny Ramirez
11. Dontrelle Willis
12. Carlos Beltran
13. Jake Peavy
14. Rich Harden
15. David Wright
16. Carl Crawford
17. Bobby Abreu
18. Derrek Lee
19. Jason Bay
20. Mark Prior
21. Roy Oswalt
22. Travis Hafner
23. Aramis Ramirez
24. Michael Young
25. Felix Hernandez

[Pogotheostrich]

Somebody has a very high opinion of Willis.

[messyjesse1]

Actually I am not a fan of him one bit and will not be drafting him next year most likely, but stats and age show that is where he belongs in a keeper draft

[bronxxbomber]

is felix already worth more than prior?

[messyjesse1]

no that is why prior is ahead

[AT]

I think Reyes is too high. I'd be surprised if he ever becomes more than a Scott Podsednik +10 HR. He doesn't drive in many runs, and he won't score tons of runs because he doesn't take a base on balls and I don't expect that to change much. I'd rather have Young and Felix and if I had to look around a little bit I'm sure I could find a couple more guys I'd put in front of him.

Maybe Carlos Zambrano, Aramis Ramirez, Chase Utley, or Grady Sizemore.

[Pogotheostrich]

Actually I am not a fan of him one bit and will not be drafting him next year most likely, but stats and age show that is where he belongs in a keeper draft

Which stats? Cause Peavy is 2 spots behind him while Peavy had a better WHIP, K/9 and K/BB last year. Plus Peavy is only 7 months older.

[messyjesse1]

good points, i would agree, and all those names were close to making the list

[messyjesse1]

Actually I am not a fan of him one bit and will not be drafting him next year most likely, but stats and age show that is where he belongs in a keeper draft

Which stats? Cause Peavy is 2 spots behind him while Peavy had a better WHIP, K/9 and K/BB last year. Plus Peavy is only 7 months older.

Yes, but what about wins? That is a very big stat, plus Dontrelle is only two spots higher. I understand your points and I agree that I would take Peavy ahead of Dontrelle, but this isn't my ranking as much as when I think people will draft players (Dontrelle is known to be a little overhyped and Peavy is unnoticed). That is why Derrek Lee is on there, yet I don't know if he will be a top 5 1B.

[Pogotheostrich]

Actually I am not a fan of him one bit and will not be drafting him next year most likely, but stats and age show that is where he belongs in a keeper draft

Which stats? Cause Peavy is 2 spots behind him while Peavy had a better WHIP, K/9 and K/BB last year. Plus Peavy is only 7 months older.

Yes, but what about wins? That is a very big stat, plus Dontrelle is only two spots higher. I understand your points and I agree that I would take Peavy ahead of Dontrelle, but this isn't my ranking as much as when I think people will draft players (Dontrelle is known to be a little overhyped and Peavy is unnoticed). That is why Derrek Lee is on there, yet I don't know if he will be a top 5 1B.

The thing is Wins are a poor predictor of future success. Just because Dontrelle won 20+ this year doesn't mean he will in the future. K/BB, K/9 and WHIP are much more accurate for predicting a future perfomance.