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Jason Schmidt

Postby clevername » Tue Oct 04, 2005 6:55 pm

will he bounce back next year?

Are his injury concerns too concerning?

I traded him in the preseason this year and I have a chance to get him back (along with Blalock in exchange for Carpenter), but I can't help but think I'd be trying to cheat death twice.

Anyone have confidence in him going into next year?
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Postby bronxxbomber » Tue Oct 04, 2005 7:32 pm

I honestly wouldn't mess the guy. His injury issues are too much of a concern for me to be on my draft radar.
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Postby rlee » Wed Oct 05, 2005 4:43 pm

Unless he falls to maybe the 8th or 10th round, which is ridiculous, I won't touch him either.
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Postby wrveres » Wed Oct 05, 2005 6:06 pm

you can get Schmidt and Blaylock for Carpenter?
Depending upon the league specifics, I would be all over that trade.
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Postby clevername » Wed Oct 05, 2005 6:46 pm

that's exactly why I'm considering this.

I love Carp...and I think he'll post similar numbers next year. Around 20 wins, ERA of 3.00, and 200 K's.

Schmidt just scares me so much.

And I had Blalock in this league earlier this year and traded him for Sabathia at the end of the season to help set up my pitching for the playoffs (and it worked, I won)...but I traded him because I was kinda fed up with him and his 2nd half antics.

So, neither guy is bowling me over. I should probably just post about it over in the trade section, but I'm still interested in everyone's opinion on Schmidt.
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Postby baseball6791 » Wed Oct 05, 2005 6:49 pm

I wouldn't take the guy early this year but I wouldn't be that down on him. He and the rest of the Giants staff had a really tough year this year, that came in part to the fact that they were always pitching from behind (since the Giants couldn't score a run to save their lives much of the season) and that the bullpen was pretty bad for much of the season. Also, and I don't know this for a fact but I suspect that the Giants probably had one of the lowest pitches seen per inning in the whole league, which means that their pitchers had much less time to rest. Granted he had a number of injuries and is definitely a risk, but consider that he threw the least number of innings he has since 2001 so if anything his arm should be fresh for next season. Also take into account that next year the Giants will have a much better supporting cast and will still get to play in the very weak NL West.
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Postby Yoda » Wed Oct 05, 2005 7:20 pm

05 was likely Carpenter's career year. He will still be a good pitcher but IMO highly unlikely to repeat 05. My guess is he will produce somewhere between 04 and 05. Blalock returns to his 03, 04 level which is more likely than not, then he and Carpenter will virtually be a wash.

Given the upside of Schmidt, the probability that Schmdit AND Blalock will outproduce Carpenter and a replacement 3B is greater than not. The reward is certainly worth the risk.
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Postby chadlincoln » Fri Oct 07, 2005 12:12 pm

I'd stay away from him like he's Baron Davis. (NBA drafts on my mind...)
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Postby WittyC » Fri Oct 07, 2005 4:46 pm

Yoda wrote:05 was likely Carpenter's career year. He will still be a good pitcher but IMO highly unlikely to repeat 05. My guess is he will produce somewhere between 04 and 05. Blalock returns to his 03, 04 level which is more likely than not, then he and Carpenter will virtually be a wash.

Given the upside of Schmidt, the probability that Schmdit AND Blalock will outproduce Carpenter and a replacement 3B is greater than not. The reward is certainly worth the risk.


Agreed! ;-D

I mean, it's not like Carp is a 24-year old who struggled to pick up the nuances of the game... the guy is 30! He should be a quality pitcher next year, but so overvalued that I'll avoid him in every league I'm in.
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Postby so0perspam » Fri Oct 07, 2005 6:33 pm

chadlincoln wrote:I'd stay away from him like he's Baron Davis. (NBA drafts on my mind...)


You're missing out then on a very undervalued commodity at PG. Schmidt comparative to his position is far worse than Baron Davis is.
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