Well theres a ton of crappy guys like OCab, Bagwell, Kaz, Koskie that I'm obviously going to stay away from. Some bigger name players I'll probably stay away from are Beltre, Beltran(avoiding him because I think he'll be 10th-11th round value again as he was this year and there is no way he falls that far down.), Carpenter, Willis, Garland, Sosa(I've always stayed away from him ever since the steroid issue and his numbers falling.), Any free agent hitter than ends up in a pitchers park.
without running any numbers, I would think that these are 3 guys that could provide real bargains next season. All three will play in pretty good offenses to ..
Finley, Nevin and Williams are def toast ..
Bagwell's 38 next year and here's his OPS trend:1049, 1039, 966, 919, 897, 842, 744.
Boone's 33 next year and:834, 753, 780, out, 676
OCab's only 31, but people seem fixated on 2003. Here's his last 4 OPS numbers: 701, 807, 689, 678. I think it's pretty easy to find a SS who can get me an OPS in the 650-700 range, and that's what OCab is. Add in that he's over 30 and began to suffer injuries this year, and I'm pretty sure there's no good reason to pick him next year.
You need to cut Aaron some slack since he was coming back from an injury that kept him out 16 months. Take the first two months away from his 2005 numbers and he has a .770 OPS - well in line with his career norms.
"Steal a little and they'll throw you in jail, steal a lot and they'll make you a king." - Bob Dylan
well Boone got off to a horrible start, so i will cut him some slack.
As for Bagwell, he has been playing with a bad back for the last two seasons, but still hit for some decent power. I know he is 38 but hopefully this surgery will help him and he could be a nice value in the later round. All of this is off the top of my head of course but if he can get back to where he was only a year and half ago .. thats good value. I wouldn't write off Bagwell just yet