If the White Sox go 8-12 in their last 20 games, Cleveland would have to go 13-6 just to tie them. I don't see the ChiSox playing .400 baseball, not to mention that .680+ baseball is tough enough.
If they play .500 (10-10), Cleveland would need to play .800+ baseball for 4 weeks (taking into account their current 7 game win streak) to finish the year 22-4. Possible? Yes, but unlikely.
Same goes for the teams chasing the Braves and the Padres - without help from these leaders (i.e. a 5 game losing streak or the like), it is almost impossible to make up a 5 game deficit in 3 weeks.
A great run, nonetheless, and one that has put them in good shape for the WC. But anything more than a game/week is tough to make up at this point in the season, unless they pretty much sweep the remaining games against the ChiSox.
Dawgpound 1613
Major League Manager
Posts: 2095
Joined: 7 Oct 2004
Bases this season: 0
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: \Lo*ca"tion\, n. 1. The act or process of locating. 2. Situation; place; locality.
The Indians will probably have to take 5 of the 6 games in those 2 final H2H series, if not complete sweep. Hard to imagine the Sox playing worse than .600 ball against KC, Det and Min given their great divisional record -- and they did quite well in their recent series against them too w/ only the weekend sweep by the Angels (after a poor showing against Texas couple weeks earlier) providing this tiny opp for the Indians.
Dawgpound 1613 wrote:If the White Sox go 8-12 in their last 20 games, Cleveland would have to go 13-6 just to tie them. I don't see the ChiSox playing .400 baseball, not to mention that .680+ baseball is tough enough.
If they play .500 (10-10), Cleveland would need to play .800+ baseball for 4 weeks (taking into account their current 7 game win streak) to finish the year 22-4. Possible? Yes, but unlikely.
Same goes for the teams chasing the Braves and the Padres - without help from these leaders (i.e. a 5 game losing streak or the like), it is almost impossible to make up a 5 game deficit in 3 weeks.
A great run, nonetheless, and one that has put them in good shape for the WC. But anything more than a game/week is tough to make up at this point in the season, unless they pretty much sweep the remaining games against the ChiSox.
Well said.
Consider that the Tribe has been playing roughly .620 ball since the break. They've come on extremely strong, by all accounts - and they would have to be even better to surpass the Sox. They've won seven in a row, while the Sox have lost 4 in a row, and they're still 5.5 back. If they're going to catch up, it will take a healthy dose of luck. It was just last week that the Sox went on a 7-game streak of their own.
Maybe I should be rooting for the Indians since I'm in a similar predicament now in one league. BUT I'm depending on a couple Sox RPs (Politte and Jenks) for some cheap points and maybe also McCarthy whenever Guillen finally gives him some more starts. Meanwhile, the 2 teams I'm trying to catch own an Indian or two for their backup/platoon uses.
Dawgpound 1613 wrote:If the White Sox go 8-12 in their last 20 games, Cleveland would have to go 13-6 just to tie them. I don't see the ChiSox playing .400 baseball, not to mention that .680+ baseball is tough enough.
If they play .500 (10-10), Cleveland would need to play .800+ baseball for 4 weeks (taking into account their current 7 game win streak) to finish the year 22-4. Possible? Yes, but unlikely.
Same goes for the teams chasing the Braves and the Padres - without help from these leaders (i.e. a 5 game losing streak or the like), it is almost impossible to make up a 5 game deficit in 3 weeks.
A great run, nonetheless, and one that has put them in good shape for the WC. But anything more than a game/week is tough to make up at this point in the season, unless they pretty much sweep the remaining games against the ChiSox.
Great post, I mean come on the chances are way to hard for the Indians. The Sox would really have to suck and the Tribe would have to go on fire for this to happen.