It's not a lack of confidence, but an admission that when you've got a two-week playoff, luck DOES play a large role in it. My team's not got holes. I've got Pedro, Felix, Billy Wagner, and Chad Cordero pitching. It's an eight-team league, but I've got Helton, Iguchi, F. Lopez, Mauer, Hafner, Dunn, Manny, Damon, Andruw, Renteria. I've got a ridiculously good lineup.
And if you want the final standings...
TEAM PCT PF PA Diff
Quiet Storm 0.492 2180 1970 210
Super BKN’s 0.556 1983 1885 98
Magik7’s 0.532 2022 1924 98
Cooperstown Wannabees 0.508 1952 1954 -2
Rivals 0.540 1890 1899 -9
Doomsday 0.508 1795 1863 -68
Mighty Crabs 0.524 1857 1954 -97
Chico’s Bail Bonds 0.355 1636 2001 -365
You'll have to figure out what lines up where, I'm too tired to line everything up properly. It's ranked by point differential. We had a lot of really close teams and one way behind. (And, yes, I realize there's a problem with the point totals -- there are about 150 points extra scattered about the points against. I think it's a result of the commish accidentally scoring two series twice.)
I just had the misfortune of having my players all do well on the same days, so as to crush my opponents when I did win.
I had the best team. I still do. I'm confident in that. PECOTA had me pegged as scoring about 20% more than my competition, bench included -- and roughly this amount more, based on starters alone. And with Felix, Felipe Lopez, Iguchi, Bedard, Jae Weong Seo, etc. as in-season pick-ups, I don't think I did a bad job with those, either.
I just had one of those few years where luck really DID play a part. You're right. It's rare that it plays a big role over a full season. But rare != impossible.
[Edit: Apollo, my stats are based on starters alone. Note, I outscored my competition significantly. 7.25%, to be precise. It wasn't the playoffs. If this were a roto or points (non-H2H) league, I would have won. As I noted, half the time, I was losing to a team and would have had a winning record against everybody else in that given week. That's just crappy luck.
Your wisemen don't know how it feels to be thick as a brick...