Shakes wrote:instead of the typical replonse im going to give a valid 1 why the sox will win.
1. Look at schedules. pretty much the rest of the season is against the AL east. Now look again. Red Sox are basically playing at home while the yankees are away a lot more. Considering how well the sox play at home this is a HUGE factor (sox win 18 of 19 last home games)
2. Pitching lets face up and admit. Both teams pitching sucks. Curt schilling isn't curt and RJ defintly isn't RJ of last year. There is no number 1 starter for either team. Both bullpens are overused and abused. The only thing the yankees got going for them is a solid closer. Red Sox had to resort to farm system to fill holes while yankees grabbed anyone and everyone off waviers. The only thing that is good about foulke and curt just getting back to thier roles is that they won't be as tired as the rest. Neither teams pitching is getting the job done no one has an advantage.
3. Hitting. Ortiz & Manny have a comined 233RBI, Arod & Shef have 205. While Arod is leading in sluging which is way more important Manny and Ortiz are 2 & 3 while shef is down in 14th place BEHIND Tek. Damon is having a phenomial year in leadoff better then jeter (sits back and waits for jeter fans to argue). sox hitting general is stronger espially since they got rid of bellhorn. Graffino is hitting .400+ in fenway cannot argue with that. Millar actually hit a HR, hell froze over the world rejoiced, then he did it again and starting to show signs of life. Gaimbi has been hot and carring the yankees right now. Overall yet again the red sox are scoring more runs then anyone else in the AL east.
I'm not saying the yankees don't have a chance im just saying red sox have the better chance. Espially since they are already in 1st. However last bunch os WS winners have been wildcard yankees just gotta hold off oakland/angels and clevand.
Just to play Advocatus Diaboli:
1. The schedules are similar, apart i think from the Sox having an extra Angels series when the Yanks are facing the DRays. It's tight enough for that to make the difference.
2. The Chokers have probably two solid bullpen arms, in Fruitbat and Flash, and the former is so much better than what we have it isn't even funny. RJ may not be coming close to justifying the Yanks' investment, but he has been pitching better for a while now, which can't be said of Curt.
3. Sheff is creating plenty of runs, his SLG disadvantage being made up for by his insane clutchness. As a whole, the Yankee lineup might well be close enough to ours to make up the pitching disadvantage.
I think the key period is the week after the O's series, when we go to the toilet and face our owners, the Jays. If we leave that little sequence with any kidn of lead, I'll be pretty damn confident.