mweir145 wrote:But how exactly do we know Wright will continue to increase his numbers?
A player by the name of Vernon Wells had an amazing season in 2003, but never has reached any of those plateau's since, and it is unlikely he will ever do so again. My point being that Wright isn't as big a "for sure" player as many of us are saying he is. I mean the pitchers on other teams are going to have an whole offseason to take a look at him, though he has been able to get through his softmore season quite well.
We don't, for sure, but the probabilities are strongly in that favor.
The comparison with Wells is misguided. Wells did that at age 24 and his numbers were totally out of line with what he did in his prior major and minor league performances.
Wright is 22 (so much, much less likely to be simply hitting an early peak from which he won't improve) and the numbers he has posted are exactly in line with his prior minor league performance.
Once you look at the complete picture, instead of just focusing on one year's numbers, there's simply no doubt that Wright's a top 25 performer next year and for year's to come.