stumpak wrote:ERA: 1.46
These numbers belie the truth. A 1.21 WHIP will not result in a 1.46 ERA over time. And look at the ugly the 19:14 K:walk rate over the last four games. Now factor in that two of these games where against the sad sack Padres and Nats offenses, including a game in Petco and that Padilla, who had given up a bomb like every 4th inning, gave up none over 27 innings, which could be construed as a combination of a lucky streak and terrible opposing offenses.
There is nothing here to indicate that he has turned the corner any way. In fact, the evidence seems to be that he got a little lucky and will revert to his usual crappy fantasy resuts very shortly.
There's plenty to say that he's turned it around. He was injured the last couple of years and has pitched simply terrible when he did play. He is not pitching terrible now, he's pitching great.
I also wouldn't call this years results "usual crappy fantasy stats" unless you discount any history in baseball. He had two years of sub 1.30 WHIP, mid 3ERA's and 14 wins. Not bad even if not stud and far from crappy.
Since the all-star break:
w-l IP w/k ERA WHIP
2-3 46.1 19/34 2.14 1.08
Not a real good W/9 or w/k, but a nice WHIP in a hitters park. I'd call that evidence.
If you haven't seen him play, one thing that he's changed from earlier this season is that he is working faster. He was always a slow worker, and this year he was even worse, taking forever to throw the ball. After getting shelled time and time again, the news was that he had one last chance as a starter. He changed things around that game, working quickly on the mound and its worked great. So there's more here then just a stretch of nice starts. He was on the blocks and has responded.
That's not to say he's a top pitcher now, or that he will keep it up, but he has certainely turned it around from where he was. Hope he keeps it up. For those of us in deeper leagues, instead of shallow all-star leagues, he's been a viable starter lately.
Last edited by swyck on Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.