Amazinz wrote:I think published dollar values will list him somewhere between $10-$15 in a $260 format. But it won't be a realistic value since dollar value worth is really what people will be willing to spend and there will probably be one person in every draft willing to paying $20+.
I am going to go against the grain here and say that Felix is probably one of the best avoid candidates going into next year. He is no doubt special but people are going to overpay for him and I'm just not willing to pay ace money for what amounts to a rookie (despite his awesome potential).
I agree 100%. He will be overvalued because of the hype and because his weak opponent schedule this season makes him seem more polished and ready than he is.
Don't get me wrong: He's the best pitching prospect to come around in my conscious lifetime. However, I will give him a year of seasoning before overpaying. He had a 3.30 era in double-A this year, which is very good. But I wonder what that would be translated to the majors. I would think that somewhere around 4 would be just about right. He is just 19 years old. Don't forget that. No matter how good he is, there will be bumps in the road and Seattle should (and will, I think) take their time in developing him. They don't want to Dwight Gooden him and have his career nosedive in 2008.