Matt: (Long Island, NY): Eric, I've been taking some light-hearted jabs at Tristen for blowing it on the Peralta projections and am wondering if you'll take a position... Now that he's hitting .385 for the last week with 8 RBI and 2HR, with a solid .326, 13R, and 21 RBI! for the last month, where do YOU see him amongst ML shortstop rankings?
Eric Karabell: (10:27 AM ET ) Peralta is a young Miggy Tejada. Great power, right handed hitter, and on his way in the future to 30-100 seasons. The Indians are hitting Peralta third for a reason. He's their top right handed hitter, and along with Hafner that lineup is very nice. I think we all misread Peralta in March, though I did expect he could 15 or so home runs. To see a guy like this be even better like that, I don't think you nor the Indians thought it possible. Let's just enjoy this guy's stats.
Matt: Long Island, NY: Wow a Young Miggy Tejada. Now that's taking a position...atta boy Eric. Good stuff man.
Eric Karabell: (10:31 AM ET ) Look up Tejada's numbers before he became a monster, and Peralta's doing the same thing. I think it's reasonable to expect - if he hits 3rd or 4th again - a 30-100 season from Peralta next season. For real.
So of course I did... and here they are...
Tejada's first 3 reasonably full seasons look like the following:
(before he may have been juicing but that's for a different topic)
1998 OAK 365 AB's, 53R, 11HR, 45RBI, .233 Avg.
1999 OAK 593 AB's, 93R, 21HR, 84RBI, .251 Avg.
2000 OAK 607 AB's, 105R, 30HR, 115RBI, .275 Avg.
Also, for reference...Tejada's Minor League #'s
1996 A Ball @ Modesto in 458 AB's, 97R, 20HR, 72RBI, 27SB, .279 Avg.
1997 AA @ Huntsville in 502 AB's, 85R, 22HR, 97RBI, 15SB, .275 Avg.
Now take a gander at how Peralta matches up...
2005 CLE 321 AB's, 49R, 16HR, 54RBI, .305 Avg.
Peralta's Minor League #'s
2003 AAA Buffalo in 237 AB's, 25R, 1HR, 21RBI, .257 Avg
2004 AAA Buffalo in 556 AB's, 109R, 15HR, 86RBI, 8SB, .326 Avg
I know you're looking at the 2003 and 2004 HR discrepency. He hit 15 Homers in 2002 at AA Akron.
Tejada was 22 in his first full ML Season in 1998 and Peralta is 23 now.
Now I'm not saying Peralta will perform up to Tejada's MVP level like Karabell suggested, but I will say that he's going to be a TOP 3 SS in the next 2 years behind Young and Tejada.